Match Info

NPC - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Navigation Homes Stadium (Pukekohe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby
Australia	15:05	Stan Sport
Mexico	23:05	Disney+
New Zealand	17:05	Sky Sport 1
Nigeria	06:05	SuperSport Rugby
South Africa	07:05	SuperSport Rugby
International	05:05	RugbyPass TV


	Counties Manukau		Tasman

	1	X	2
	3.1	19.5	1.38
	3.4	27	1.32
	3.35	22.35	1.36	Watch
	3.02	23.39	1.31
	3.43	21	1.34	Watch
	3.25	26	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.93)	23.21 ↓ (29.58)	1.34 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Counties Manukau
28%

Draw
3.9%

Tasman
68%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.5%

3.1%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Counties Manukau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tasman might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Counties Manukau - Tasman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:35

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 19)
2nd Half (21 - 31)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 1.

In this match, Tasman is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 276:376. (average 21.2:28.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Counties Manukau won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 160:256. (average 22.9:36.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Counties Manukau
New Zealand NPC
06.08.26	North Harbour - Counties Manukau	59:19 ✺
31.07.26	Counties Manukau - Taranaki	5:20 ✺
11.10.25	Canterbury - Counties Manukau	23:15 OT ✺
04.10.25	Tasman - Counties Manukau	41:49 ✺
27.09.25	Counties Manukau - Manawatu	48:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWW
- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
08.08.26	Hawkes Bay - Tasman	50:19 ✺
31.07.26	Tasman - North Harbour	31:29 ✺
10.10.25	Bay of Plenty - Tasman	27:7 ✺
04.10.25	Tasman - Counties Manukau	41:49 ✺
26.09.25	Southland - Tasman	38:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
04.10.25	Tasman - Counties Manukau	41:49
23.08.24	Counties Manukau - Tasman	3:48
17.09.23	Tasman - Counties Manukau	27:17
12.09.20	Counties Manukau - Tasman	24:41
06.09.19	Counties Manukau - Tasman	0:36
22.09.18	Tasman - Counties Manukau	21:19
14.10.17	Counties Manukau - Tasman	52:30

Counties Manukau - Tasman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide