Match Info

Super Rugby - Round 5

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Govind Park (Ba)

Referee: Williams P. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Sports+


	Fijian Drua		Brumbies

	1	X	2
	2	19	1.91
	2.24	25	1.66
	2.05	22.06	1.84
	2	23	1.8
	2.1	20	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (3.4)	21.81 ↓ (23.08)	1.79 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fijian Drua
44.3%

Draw
4.2%

Brumbies
51.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fijian Drua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fijian Drua's performance.

Brumbies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brumbies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Fijian Drua - Brumbies Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fijian Drua (votes: 1 - 50%). Brumbies (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hetet H.	1. Ieli L.
2. Togiatama Z.	2. Pollard B.
3. Doge M.	3. Breen D.
4. Vocevoce M.	4. Frost N.
5. Nasilasila I.	5. MacPherson T.
6. Waqa E.	6. Tualima T.
7. Murray M.	7. Reimer L.
8. Canakaivata E.	8. Valetini R.
9. Lomani F.	9. Thorn K.
10. Armstrong-Ravula I.	10. Edmed T.
11. Loganimasi P.	11. Oates K.
12. Rabitu I.	12. Feliuai D.
13. Samusamuvodre T.	13. Pritchard K.
14. Nasova J.	14. Creighton H.
15. Droasese I.	15. Muirhead A.
Coaches
. Jackson G.	. Larkham S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 12)
5', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
6', Creighton H. (Try),
7', Edmed T. (Missed Conversion),
11', Waqa E. (Try),
13', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
17', Doge M. 🟨,
18', Waqa E. ↓, Ravai P. ↑,
26', Canakaivata E. 🟨,
26', MacPherson T. (Try),
26', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
28', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
28', Ravai P. ↓, Waqa E. ↑,
32', Ieli L. ↓, Schoupp B. ↑,
36', Canakaivata E. (Try),
37', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
39', MacPherson T. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
2nd Half (22 - 15)
41', Pollard B. ↓, Bowron L. ↑,
41', Shaw L. ↓, MacPherson T. ↑,
44', Ravudi S. (Try),
45', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
47', Breen D. ↓, Alatini T. ↑,
47', Frost N. ↓, Shaw L. ↑,
48', Canakaivata E. ↓, Tuwai I. ↑,
50', Reimer L. ↓, Scott R. ↑,
50', Thorn K. ↓, Lonergan R. ↑,
50', Edmed T. ↓, Meredith D. ↑,
51', Droasese I. (Try),
52', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
53', Feliuai D. ↓, Anderson A. ↑,
54', MacPherson T. (Try),
55', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),
56', Doge M. ↓, Ravai P. ↑,
56', Nasova J. ↓, Fines-Leleiwasa I. ↑,
56', Murray M. ↓, Salawa K. ↑,
58', Lonergan R. (Try),
59', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),
59', Hetet H. ↓, Tuqiri E. ↑,
62', Waqa E. ↓, Miramira V. ↑,
63', Ravudi S. ↓, Cakobau P. ↑,
67', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
70', Droasese I. (Try),
71', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
72', Rabitu I. ↓, Namoce I. ↑,
80', Muirhead A. (Try),
80', Lonergan R. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 0.

Brumbies may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fijian Drua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 116:220. (average 19.3:36.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fijian Drua won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:69. (average 22:34.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fijian Drua
Super Rugby
27.02.26	Fijian Drua - Hurricanes	25:20 ✺
20.02.26	Waratahs - Fijian Drua	36:13 ✺
13.02.26	Fijian Drua - Moana Pasifika	26:40 ✺
31.05.25	Reds - Fijian Drua	52:7 ✺
16.05.25	Fijian Drua - Western Force	38:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLLW
- Brumbies Rugby
Super Rugby
07.03.26	Brumbies - Reds	31:34 ✺
28.02.26	Brumbies - Blues	30:27 ✺
21.02.26	Crusaders - Brumbies	24:50 ✺
14.02.26	Western Force - Brumbies	24:56 ✺
Super Rugby AUS
27.09.25	Brumbies - Waratahs	34:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Super Rugby
14.03.25	Brumbies - Fijian Drua	38:21
14.02.25	Fijian Drua - Brumbies	32:36
04.05.24	Brumbies - Fijian Drua	28:20
14.04.23	Brumbies - Fijian Drua	43:28
09.04.22	Fijian Drua - Brumbies	12:33
25.02.22	Brumbies - Fijian Drua	42:3

Fijian Drua - Brumbies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide