The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reds 83.1%
Draw 2.7%
Fijian Drua 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
82.1%
3.4%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Fijian Drua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Reds - Fijian Drua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ross A.
1. Tuni M.
2. Faessler M.
2. Togiatama Z.
3. Nonggorr Z.
3. Tawake S.
4. Canham J.
4. Nasilasila I.
5. Salakaia-Loto L.
5. Mayanavanua T.
6. Uru S.
6. Miramira V.
7. Mcreight F.
7. Salawa K.
8. Wilson H.
8. Canakaivata E.
9. McDermott T.
9. Fines-Leleiwasa I.
10. Gordon C.
10. Valetini K.
11. Ryan T.
11. Rakuro T.
12. Paisami H.
12. Rabitu I.
13. Flook J.
13. Samusamuvodre T.
14. Anderson L.
14. Mataele M.
15. Pritchard T.
15. Armstrong-Ravula I.
Substitutes
16. Asiata R.
16. Ravudi S.
17. Blake G.
17. Ravai P.
18. De Lutiis M.
18. Doge M.
19. Latu V.
19. Tamani J.
20. Brial J.
20. Waqa E.
21. Werchon L.
21. Tuwai I.
22. Volavola B.
22. Kuruvoli S.
23. Daugunu F.
23. Vakatawa V.
Coaches
. Kiss L.
. Jackson G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (21 - 12)
12', Mataele M. (Try),
13', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Missed Conversion),
13', Canham J. ↓, Brial J. ↑,
24', Brial J. ↓, Canham J. ↑,
25', Faessler M. (Try),
26', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
28', Paisami H. ↓, Daugunu F. ↑,
30', Daugunu F. (Try),
31', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
34', Flook J. (Try),
35', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
35', Tamani J. ↓, Vocevoce M. ↑,
38', Tuni M. (Try),
39', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 12)
41', Armstrong-Ravula I. ↓, Vakatawa V. ↑,
45', Mataele M. (Try),
46', Valetini K. (Conversion Goal),
46', Ross A. ↓, Blake G. ↑,
48', Mataele M. (Try),
49', Valetini K. (Missed Conversion),
49', Miramira V. ↓, Waqa E. ↑,
51', Valetini K. (Missed Penalty),
52', Nonggorr Z. ↓, De Lutiis M. ↑,
54', Tawake S. ↓, Doge M. ↑,
54', Tuni M. ↓, Ravai P. ↑,
55', Wilson H. (Try),
56', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
56', Togiatama Z. ↓, Ravudi S. ↑,
59', Faessler M. (Try),
60', Gordon C. (Missed Conversion),
60', Fines-Leleiwasa I. ↓, Kuruvoli S. ↑,
62', Wilson H. ↓, Latu V. ↑,
66', Faessler M. ↓, Asiata R. ↑,
66', McDermott T. ↓, Werchon L. ↑,
66', Pritchard T. ↓, Volavola B. ↑,
68', Canham J. ↓, Brial J. ↑,
69', Uru S. (Try),
70', Gordon C. (Conversion Goal),
71', Canakaivata E. ↓, Tuwai I. ↑,
74', Asiata R. (Try),
75', Volavola B. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reds won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Reds is the clear favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Reds won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 202:170. (average 28.9:24.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Reds won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 112:59. (average 37.3:19.7).
Argentina
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Ross A. 
Tuni M. 
Brial J. 
Vakatawa V. 
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