Match Info

Premiership Women - Round 10

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Harlequins		Exeter Chiefs

	1	X	2
	1.58	21	2.45
	5.99	14.30	1.18	Watch
	1.58	21	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (1.62)	18.77 ↓ (21)	2.04 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harlequins
37.7%

Draw
6.1%

Exeter Chiefs
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

4.4%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harlequins's form might have worsened.

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter Chiefs's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 28)
2nd Half (17 - 10)

Preview

Exeter Chiefs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Harlequins will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 102:162. (average 25.5:40.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Harlequins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 52:106. (average 26:53).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harlequins FC Women
English Premiership Rugby Women
31.01.26	Ealing Trailfinders - Harlequins	26:27 ✺
20.12.25	Harlequins - Bristol	38:12 ✺
16.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	26:19 ✺
09.11.25	Harlequins - Gloucester-Hartpury	26:33 ✺
02.11.25	Saracens - Harlequins	47:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL
- Exeter Chiefs Women
English Premiership Rugby Women
13.12.25	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	14:24 ✺
16.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	26:19 ✺
15.02.25	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	21:12 ✺
08.02.25	Bristol - Exeter Chiefs	45:17 ✺
02.02.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Women
16.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	26:19
02.02.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	30:31
09.12.23	Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs	27:52
04.03.23	Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs	25:54

Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide