Match Info
Premiership Rugby - Round 11Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Twickenham Stoop (London) ๐ค๏ธ ...Referee: Cox S. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Australia | 02:00 | Stan Sport |
 New Zealand | 04:00 | SKY Go NZ |
 United Kingdom | 15:00 | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com |
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Harlequins |
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Gloucester |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Harlequins
62.3% | Draw
4.2% | Gloucester
33.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harlequins's form might have worsened.Gloucester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harlequins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gloucester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Harlequins - Gloucester Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Harlequins will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -6.5 - Harlequins (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harlequins (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Kerrod S.
| 1.  Rapava-Ruskin V.
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2.  Walker J.
| 2. Innard J.
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3. Williams H.
| 3. Fasogbon A.
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4.  Petti G.
| 4. Clark A.
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5.  Treadwell K.
| 5. Alemanno M.
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6. Kenningham J.
| 6. Clement J.
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7.  Driscoll S.
| 7. Ludlow L.
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8. Dombrandt A. (C)
| 8.  Trenholm W.
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9. Townsend S.
| 9. Williams T. (C)
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10. Smith M.
| 10. Atkinson C.
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11. Murley C.
| 11. Thorley O.
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12. Bradley B.
| 12. Atkinson S.
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13. Waghorn B.
| 13. Llewellyn M.
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14. Isgro R.
| 14. Joseph W.
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15. David N.
| 15. Redshaw B.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Musk J.
| 16.  Boyle-Tiatia M.
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17. Hobson W.
| 17. Bleuler D.
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18. Delgado P.
| 18. Knight C.
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19. Green J.
| 19. Thomas F.
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20. Carr Z.
| 20. Gwynne D.
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21. Friday L.
| 21. Englefield C.
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22. Benson J.
| 22. Barton G.
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23. Green T.
| 23. Edwards-Giraud J.
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| Coaches |
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.  Gilmore J.
| . Skivington G.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 7)
- 5', Clement J. (Try),
- 6', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Williams T. ↓, Englefield C. ↑,
- 18', Waghorn B. (Try),
- 19', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Smith M. (Try),
- 27', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Ludlow L. 🟨,
- 40', Atkinson C. (Missed Penalty),
- 2nd Half (5 - 19)
- 41', Williams H. ↓, Delgado P. ↑,
- 49', Kerrod S. ↓, Hobson W. ↑,
- 49', Townsend S. ↓, Friday L. ↑,
- 49', Trenholm W. ↓, Gwynne D. ↑,
- 57', Murley C. ↓, Green T. ↑,
- 57', Redshaw B. (Try),
- 58', Atkinson C. (Missed Conversion),
- 58', Thorley O. ↓, Barton G. ↑,
- 60', Driscoll S. ↓, Carr Z. ↑,
- 63', Walker J. ↓, Musk J. ↑,
- 63', Kenningham J. (Try),
- 64', Smith M. (Missed Conversion),
- 64', Llewellyn M. ↓, Edwards-Giraud J. ↑,
- 65', Atkinson C. (Try),
- 66', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Treadwell K. ↓, Green J. ↑,
- 69', Bradley B. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
- 71', Clark A. (Try),
- 72', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Harlequins is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Harlequins will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 508:458. (average 25.4:22.9).Including home matches between the teams, Harlequins won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 304:225. (average 30.4:22.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gloucester | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 147:67 | 16 |
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| 10 | Harlequins | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 74:124 | 7 |
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