Saracens - Harlequins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premiership Rugby - Round 17
  • Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday
  • Location: StoneX Stadium (London)
  • Referee: Pearce L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
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    Saracens Harlequins
    Saracens Harlequins
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.06
    (1.07)
    40.66
    (34.25)
    8.54
    (8.2)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 70.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-22)

    • The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Saracens
    86.9%
    Draw
    2.3%
    Harlequins
    10.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    86.1% 2.7% 11.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    100% 0% 0%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:24
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. FijiMawi E.
      1. EnglandHobson W.
      2. EnglandGeorge J.
      2. EnglandRiley S.
      3. EnglandStreet M.
      3. ArgentinaDelgado P.
      4. EnglandItoje M. (C)
      4. EnglandCarr Z.
      5. EnglandTizard H.
      5. EnglandWilliams E.
      6. EnglandIsiekwe N.
      6. EnglandCunningham-South C.
      7. EnglandEarl B.
      7. EnglandKenningham J.
      8. EnglandWillis T.
      8. EnglandDombrandt A. (C)
      9. EnglandBracken C.
      9. EnglandPorter W.
    10. ScotlandBurke F.
    10. EnglandSmith M.
    11. EnglandElliott T.
    11. EnglandMurley C.
    12. EnglandHartley O.
    12. WalesBradley B.
    13. WalesTompkins N.
    13. EnglandKerr S.
    14. EnglandCaluori N.
    14. ScotlandAnderson C.
    15. EnglandMalins M.
    15. EnglandBenson J.
    Substitutes
    16. EnglandDan T.
    16. EnglandMusk J.
    17. WalesCarre R.
    17. ArgentinaWenger B.
    18. EnglandClarey A.
    18. EnglandStreeter O.
    19. SamoaMcFarland T.
    19. WalesGreen J.
    20. EnglandMichelow N.
    20. WalesDriscoll S.
    21. Southvan Zyl I.
    21. WalesEvans W.
    22. EnglandFarrell O.
    22. EnglandTownsend S.
    23. EnglandBracken J.
    23. EnglandCleaves C.
    Coaches
      . NorthernMcCall M.
      . AustraliaGilmore J.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (12 - 0)
    • 7', Cunningham-South C. 🟨,
    • 7', (Penalty Try),
    • 24', Malins M. (Try),
    • 26', Burke F. (Missed Conversion),
    • 2nd Half (14 - 12)
    • 42', Williams E. , Green J. ,
    • 51', Kerr S. , Cleaves C. ,
    • 53', Kenningham J. , Evans W. ,
    • 53', Carr Z. , Driscoll S. ,
    • 53', Mawi E. , Carre R. ,
    • 53', Street M. , Clarey A. ,
    • 53', Isiekwe N. , McFarland T. ,
    • 56', Delgado P. , Streeter O. ,
    • 58', George J. , Dan T. ,
    • 58', Hobson W. , Wenger B. ,
    • 59', Burke F. , Farrell O. ,
    • 61', Riley S. , Musk J. ,
    • 62', Bradley B. (Try),
    • 63', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
    • 66', Willis T. , Michelow N. ,
    • 66', Caluori N. , Bracken J. ,
    • 68', Farrell O. (Missed Penalty),
    • 69', Bracken C. , van Zyl I. ,
    • 71', Porter W. , Townsend S. ,
    • 77', Tompkins N. (Try),
    • 79', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
    • 80', Anderson C. (Try),
    • 80', Smith M. (Missed Conversion),
    • 80+1', Dan T. (Try),
    • 80+1', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),

    Preview

  • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 2.
  • Saracens is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Harlequins has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • In this match, Saracens is the undisputed favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 586:479. (average 29.3:24).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 315:216. (average 31.5:21.6).
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Saracens FC
    English Premiership Rugby
    16.05.26 Saracens - Gloucester 30:14
    09.05.26 Bristol Rugby - Saracens 26:41
    25.04.26 Saracens - Leicester Tigers 19:15
    19.04.26 Sale Sharks - Saracens 19:85
    European Rugby Champions Cup
    04.04.26 Bath - Saracens 31:22
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8
    WWWWL
    - Harlequin FC
    English Premiership Rugby
    16.05.26 Harlequins - Exeter Chiefs 41:24
    10.05.26 Newcastle Red Bulls - Harlequins 17:76
    25.04.26 Harlequins - Sale Sharks 33:52
    18.04.26 Bath - Harlequins 48:15
    European Rugby Champions Cup
    04.04.26 Harlequins - Sale Sharks 17:26
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5
    WWLLL
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premiership Rugby Cup
    07.02.26 Saracens - Harlequins 40:43
    16.11.25 Harlequins - Saracens 21:46
    English Premiership Rugby
    12.10.25 Harlequins - Saracens 20:14
    22.03.25 Saracens - Harlequins 12:23
    English Premiership Rugby Cup
    15.02.25 Harlequins - Saracens 29:30
    23.11.24 Saracens - Harlequins 28:26
    English Premiership Rugby
    13.10.24 Harlequins - Saracens 17:10