The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saracens 86.9%
Draw 2.3%
Harlequins 10.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
86.1%
2.7%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 46:24
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mawi E.
1. Hobson W.
2. George J.
2. Riley S.
3. Street M.
3. Delgado P.
4. Itoje M. (C)
4. Carr Z.
5. Tizard H.
5. Williams E.
6. Isiekwe N.
6. Cunningham-South C.
7. Earl B.
7. Kenningham J.
8. Willis T.
8. Dombrandt A. (C)
9. Bracken C.
9. Porter W.
10. Burke F.
10. Smith M.
11. Elliott T.
11. Murley C.
12. Hartley O.
12. Bradley B.
13. Tompkins N.
13. Kerr S.
14. Caluori N.
14. Anderson C.
15. Malins M.
15. Benson J.
Substitutes
16. Dan T.
16. Musk J.
17. Carre R.
17. Wenger B.
18. Clarey A.
18. Streeter O.
19. McFarland T.
19. Green J.
20. Michelow N.
20. Driscoll S.
21. van Zyl I.
21. Evans W.
22. Farrell O.
22. Townsend S.
23. Bracken J.
23. Cleaves C.
Coaches
. McCall M.
. Gilmore J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (12 - 0)
7', Cunningham-South C. 🟨,
7', (Penalty Try),
24', Malins M. (Try),
26', Burke F. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (14 - 12)
42', Williams E. ↓, Green J. ↑,
51', Kerr S. ↓, Cleaves C. ↑,
53', Kenningham J. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
53', Carr Z. ↓, Driscoll S. ↑,
53', Mawi E. ↓, Carre R. ↑,
53', Street M. ↓, Clarey A. ↑,
53', Isiekwe N. ↓, McFarland T. ↑,
56', Delgado P. ↓, Streeter O. ↑,
58', George J. ↓, Dan T. ↑,
58', Hobson W. ↓, Wenger B. ↑,
59', Burke F. ↓, Farrell O. ↑,
61', Riley S. ↓, Musk J. ↑,
62', Bradley B. (Try),
63', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
66', Willis T. ↓, Michelow N. ↑,
66', Caluori N. ↓, Bracken J. ↑,
68', Farrell O. (Missed Penalty),
69', Bracken C. ↓, van Zyl I. ↑,
71', Porter W. ↓, Townsend S. ↑,
77', Tompkins N. (Try),
79', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
80', Anderson C. (Try),
80', Smith M. (Missed Conversion),
80+1', Dan T. (Try),
80+1', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 2.
Saracens is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Harlequins has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Saracens is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 586:479. (average 29.3:24).
Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 315:216. (average 31.5:21.6).