Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Twickenham Stoop (London) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Viaplay
France	18:30	beIN Sports
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:30	BT Sport


	Harlequins		Racing Métro

	1	X	2
	1.8	19	2.1
	1.8	19	2
	1.93	21	1.93
	1.89	20	2
	1.95	17	1.91
	1.93	23	1.95
	1.87	19	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	19.71 ↓ (25.5)	1.98 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harlequins
48.9%

Draw
4.7%

Racing Métro
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

3.6%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

3.7%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Racing Métro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harlequins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Métro than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Harlequins - Racing Métro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Harlequins will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Racing Métro will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing Métro: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:22

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Preview

Recent matches Harlequins is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing Métro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Harlequins could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Harlequins to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Harlequins won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 56-60.

Including matches at home between the teams Harlequins won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-52.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harlequin FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
10.12.22	Sharks - Harlequins	39:31 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
02.12.22	Bath - Harlequins	13:19 ✺
25.11.22	Harlequins - Gloucester	21:12 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
18.11.22	Sale Sharks - Harlequins	40:19 ✺
Club Friendly Rugby Union
17.11.22	Harlequins - Barbarians	73:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW
- Racing Métro 92
European Rugby Champions Cup
10.12.22	Racing Métro - Leinster	10:42 ✺
French Top 14
04.12.22	Toulon - Racing Métro	14:31 ✺
27.11.22	Racing Métro - Clermont	46:12 ✺
05.11.22	Racing Métro - Perpignan	42:20 ✺
29.10.22	Brive - Racing Métro	38:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
20.12.20	Harlequins - Racing Métro	7:49
Heineken Cup
15.12.13	Harlequins - Racing Métro	17:3
07.12.13	Racing Métro - Harlequins	8:32

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harlequin FC
English Premiership Rugby
31.10.26	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	✺
- Racing Métro 92
French Top 14
31.10.26	Clermont - Racing Métro	✺

Harlequins - Racing Métro