Match Info
Premiership Rugby - Round 14Date: 25 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Twickenham Stoop (London)Referee: Selwood G. (Usa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 5 |
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Harlequins |
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Sale Sharks |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Harlequins
46.1% | Draw
4.2% | Sale Sharks
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harlequins's form might have worsened.Sale Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sale Sharks's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harlequins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sale Sharks than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sale Sharks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Harlequins - Sale Sharks Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Harlequins will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Hobson W.
| 1. McEachran R.
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2.  Turner G.
| 2. Longstaff A.
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3.  Jones J.
| 3. Opoku-Fordjour A.
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4. Cunningham-South C.
| 4.  van Rhyn E.
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5. Launchbury J.
| 5. Bamber B.
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6.  Petti G.
| 6. Vermeulen J.
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7. Kenningham J.
| 7. Woodman T.
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8. Dombrandt A.
| 8. Dugdale S.
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9. Friday L.
| 9. Warr G.
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10. Smith M.
| 10. Ford G.
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11. Hyde H.
| 11. Reed A.
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12. Bradley B.
| 12.  Maasi-White R.
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13. Northmore L.
| 13. du Preez R.
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14. Anderson C.
| 14. Roebuck T.
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15. Benson J.
| 15. O'Flaherty T.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Riley S.
| 16. Caine E.
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17. Clarke E.
| 17.  Onasanya T.
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18. Streeter O.
| 18. Harper J.
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19.  Treadwell K.
| 19. Andrews H.
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20. Carr Z.
| 20. Kelly S.
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21. Evans W.
| 21. Hanson D.
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22.  Grant J.
| 22. Louw M.
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23. Kerr S.
| 23. Davies O.
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| Coaches |
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. Gilmore J.
| . Sanderson A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 24)
- 1', Dugdale S. (Try),
- 2', Ford G. (Missed Conversion),
- 6', Longstaff A. (Try),
- 7', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Cunningham-South C. (Try),
- 15', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', du Preez R. ↓, Louw M. ↑,
- 20', Petti G. (Try),
- 21', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Benson J. (Try),
- 25', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Ford G. (Try),
- 29', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', O'Flaherty T. (Try),
- 32', Ford G. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (12 - 28)
- 41', Turner G. ↓, Riley S. ↑,
- 41', Reed A. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
- 48', Launchbury J. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
- 48', Hyde H. (Try),
- 49', Smith M. (Missed Conversion),
- 49', McEachran R. ↓, Onasanya T. ↑,
- 49', Opoku-Fordjour A. ↓, Harper J. ↑,
- 49', Jones J. ↓, Streeter O. ↑,
- 56', Cunningham-South C. ↓, Treadwell K. ↑,
- 56', Woodman T. ↓, Kelly S. ↑,
- 56', Riley S. (Try),
- 57', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Harper J. (Try),
- 60', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Hobson W. ↓, Clarke E. ↑,
- 68', Dugdale S. (Try),
- 69', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Hyde H. ↓, Kerr S. ↑,
- 69', Petti G. ↓, Carr Z. ↑,
- 73', Longstaff A. ↓, Caine E. ↑,
- 73', Vermeulen J. ↓, Andrews H. ↑,
- 75', Northmore L. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
- 75', Louw M. ↓, Hanson D. ↑,
- 76', Harper J. (Try),
- 77', Andrews H. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Roebuck T. (Try),
- 80', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 0.In recent matches, Harlequins has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sale Sharks's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Harlequins may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Harlequins won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 420:548. (average 21:27.4).Including home matches between the teams, Harlequins won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 233:227. (average 23.3:22.7).
Outrights of English Premiership Rugby for now
Sale Sharks: 5.41% Harlequins: 0.65%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 7 | Sale Sharks | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 45:51 | 4 |
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| 10 | Harlequins | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:81 | 0 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| European Rugby Champions Cup | | | 04.04.26 | Harlequins - Sale Sharks | 17:26 | | English Premiership Rugby | | | 26.12.25 | Sale Sharks - Harlequins | 43:17 | | 19.04.25 | Harlequins - Sale Sharks | 29:43 | | 22.09.24 | Sale Sharks - Harlequins | 12:11 | | 21.04.24 | Sale Sharks - Harlequins | 37:31 | | 01.12.23 | Harlequins - Sale Sharks | 36:3 | | 08.01.23 | Harlequins - Sale Sharks | 16:24 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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