Match Info
Premiership Rugby - Round 12Date: 29 March 2026, SundayLocation: Salford Community Stadium (Salford)Referee: Pearce L. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 1 |
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Sale Sharks |
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Bath |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sale Sharks
50.5% | Draw
4.6% | Bath
44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sale Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sale Sharks's performance.Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sale Sharks than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sale Sharks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath than the current prediction. (+14.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bath could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Sale Sharks will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Bath will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sale Sharks: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sale Sharks (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Rodd B.
| 1. Kirk S.
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2. Cowan-Dickie L.
| 2. Frost D.
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3. Harper J.
| 3. Sela B.
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4.  van Rhyn E.
| 4. Jeanes W.
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5. Bamber B.
| 5.  Molony R.
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6. Dugdale S.
| 6. Hill T.
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7. Jibulu N.
| 7. Staddon E.
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8. Vermeulen J.
| 8. Reid M.
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9. Quirke R.
| 9. Carr-Smith T.
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10. Ford G.
| 10.  Carreras S.
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11.  Reed A.
| 11. Muir W.
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12.  Maasi-White R.
| 12. Redpath C.
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13. du Preez R.
| 13.  Hennessey-Booth L.
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14. Roebuck T.
| 14. Cokanasiga J.
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15. Carpenter J.
| 15. de Glanville T.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Caine E.
| 16. Tuipulotu K.
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17. McEachran R.
| 17. Obano B.
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18. Raymont T.
| 18. du Toit T.
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19. du Preez D.
| 19. Ewels C.
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20. Gilmore J.
| 20. Richards E.
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21. Warr G.
| 21. van der Linde B.
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22. Louw M.
| 22. Harris C.
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23. O'Flaherty T.
| 23. Barbeary A.
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| Coaches |
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. Sanderson A.
| . Christoffel van Graan J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 7)
- 18', Frost D. (Try),
- 19', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Cokanasiga J. 🟨,
- 26', O'Flaherty T. (Try),
- 27', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', du Preez R. (Try),
- 31', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Kirk S. ↓, Obano B. ↑,
- 34', Sela B. ↓, du Toit T. ↑,
- 38', Frost D. 🟨,
- 38', Cowan-Dickie L. (Try),
- 39', Ford G. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (7 - 24)
- 41', Reid M. ↓, Tuipulotu K. ↑,
- 41', du Preez R. ↓, Louw M. ↑,
- 44', Hennessey-Booth L. (Try),
- 45', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
- 49', Staddon E. (Try),
- 49', Frost D. ↓, Reid M. ↑,
- 50', Carreras S. (Missed Conversion),
- 50', Cowan-Dickie L. ↓, Caine E. ↑,
- 52', Jeanes W. ↓, Richards E. ↑,
- 53', Molony R. ↓, Ewels C. ↑,
- 56', Dugdale S. ↓, du Preez D. ↑,
- 58', Roebuck T. (Try),
- 59', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Rodd B. ↓, McEachran R. ↑,
- 60', Caine E. ↓, Cowan-Dickie L. ↑,
- 60', Harper J. ↓, Raymont T. ↑,
- 60', Tuipulotu K. ↓, Frost D. ↑,
- 60', Reid M. ↓, van der Linde B. ↑,
- 60', Muir W. ↓, Harris C. ↑,
- 60', Ewels C. ↓, Molony R. ↑,
- 62', van der Linde B. (Try),
- 63', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Barbeary A. (Try),
- 72', Carreras S. (Missed Conversion),
- 72', Molony R. ↓, Ewels C. ↑,
- 72', Jibulu N. ↓, Gilmore J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sale Sharks won 0.Recent form of Sale Sharks has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Bath has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Sale Sharks has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sale Sharks won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 399:504. (average 20:25.2).Including home matches between the teams, Sale Sharks won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 185:223. (average 20.6:24.8).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | Bath | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 436:278 | 51 |
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| 7 | Sale Sharks | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 325:354 | 22 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English Premiership Rugby Cup | | | 08.02.26 | Sale Sharks - Bath | 19:60 | | 22.11.25 | Bath - Sale Sharks | 20:0 | | English Premiership Rugby | | | 03.10.25 | Bath - Sale Sharks | 28:16 | | 26.01.25 | Sale Sharks - Bath | 23:32 | | 26.10.24 | Bath - Sale Sharks | 40:13 | | 01.06.24 | Bath - Sale Sharks | 31:23 | | 24.03.24 | Bath - Sale Sharks | 42:24 |
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