Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 11

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sandy Park (Exeter) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Woodthorpe A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:05	Stan Sport
Czech Republic	16:05	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
New Zealand	04:05	SKY Go NZ
Slovakia	16:05	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
United Kingdom	15:05	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, FloRugby.com


	Exeter Chiefs		Sale Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.18	23	5
	1.25	28	3.95
	1.28	25.7	3.92	Watch
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.26	26	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	25.74 ↑ (22.75)	4.18 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
74.2%

Draw
3.6%

Sale Sharks
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.1%

4.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

4.2%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sale Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter Chiefs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sale Sharks than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sio S.	1. McIntyre S.
2. Yeandle J.	2. Jibulu N.
3. Tchumbadze B.	3. Harper J.
4. Jenkins D. (C)	4. van Rhyn E. (C)
5. Zambonin A.	5. Bamber B.
6. Hooper T.	6. Vermeulen J.
7. Vintcent R.	7. Dugdale S.
8. Fisilau G.	8. du Preez D.
9. Varney S.	9. Quirke R.
10. Skinner H.	10. du Preez R.
11. Ridl C.	11. Reed A.
12. Rigg W.	12. Maasi-White R.
13. Slade H.	13. Louw M.
14. Brown-Bampoe P.	14. O'Flaherty T.
15. Woodburn O.	15. Carpenter J.
Substitutes
16. Heaven J.	16. Caine E.
17. Goodrick-Clarke W.	17. McEachran R.
18. Roots J.	18. WillGriff J.
19. Pearson L.	19. Gilmore  J.
20. Worley-Brady F.	20. Reuben L.
21. Cairns T.	21. Warr G.
22. Haydon-Wood W.	22. Davies O.
23. John D.	23. Wills A.
Coaches
. Baxter R.	. Sanderson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 7)
4', Varney S. (Try),
5', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),
8', Slade H. (Missed Penalty),
11', Ridl C. (Try),
12', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
21', van Rhyn E. (Try),
22', du Preez R. (Conversion Goal),
30', Woodburn O. (Try),
30', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 7)
44', du Preez D. (Try),
45', du Preez R. (Conversion Goal),
47', Sio S. ↓, Goodrick-Clarke W. ↑,
47', Tchumbadze B. ↓, Roots J. ↑,
49', Harper J. ↓, WillGriff J. ↑,
53', Louw M. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
54', McIntyre S. ↓, McEachran R. ↑,
60', Jibulu N. ↓, Caine E. ↑,
64', Quirke R. ↓, Warr G. ↑,
64', O'Flaherty T. ↓, Wills A. ↑,
64', Brown-Bampoe P. (Try),
65', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
65', Yeandle J. ↓, Heaven J. ↑,
70', Bamber B. ↓, Gilmore  J. ↑,
71', Goodrick-Clarke W. ↓, Sio S. ↑,
74', Dugdale S. ↓, Reuben L. ↑,
74', WillGriff J. ↓, Jibulu N. ↑,
78', Vintcent R. ↓, Worley-Brady F. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 3.

Exeter is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sale Sharks's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Exeter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Exeter is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 545:415. (average 27.3:20.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Exeter won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 381:176. (average 34.6:16).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Sale Sharks	4	2	0	2	76:92	9
8	Exeter Chiefs	3	1	0	2	92:113	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby Cup
15.03.26	Leicester Tigers - Exeter Chiefs	66:14 ✺
08.03.26	Exeter Chiefs - Northampton Saints	31:14 ✺
21.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Bath	31:19 ✺
14.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	48:14 ✺
07.02.26	Bristol Rugby - Exeter Chiefs	35:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWW
- Sale Sharks
English Premiership Rugby Cup
28.02.26	Bristol Rugby - Sale Sharks	36:41 ✺
20.02.26	Gloucester - Sale Sharks	43:17 ✺
08.02.26	Sale Sharks - Bath	19:60 ✺
31.01.26	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	59:14 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
24.01.26	Sale Sharks - Northampton Saints	29:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
31.01.26	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	59:14
English Premiership Rugby
28.11.25	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	26:27
English Premiership Rugby Cup
14.11.25	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	34:3
English Premiership Rugby
31.05.25	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	26:30
English Premiership Rugby Cup
01.03.25	Exeter Chiefs - Sale Sharks	50:14
English Premiership Rugby
21.12.24	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	28:10
31.03.24	Sale Sharks - Exeter Chiefs	41:5

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