Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: McLean Park (Napier) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:05	Stan Sport
New Zealand	19:05	Sky Sport 1
United Kingdom	08:05	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action


	Hawkes Bay		Northland

	1	X	2
	1.25	23	3.8
	1.28	20	4
	1.27	21.22	4.19	Watch
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.26	18	4.34
	1.28	20	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.19)	21.37 ↓ (28.95)	4.11 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawkes Bay
73.2%

Draw
4.3%

Northland
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

77.8%

3.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hawkes Bay - Northland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakete-Stones P.	1. Cobb R.
2. Devery J.	2. Moulds M.
3. Hintz J.	3. Apoua C.
4. Walker-Leawere I.	4. Craig A.
5. Parsons T.	5. Caird S.
6. Lochore F.	6. Woods R.
7. Smith S.	7. Uluinakauvadra S.
8. Renton H.	8. Parker S.
9. Fakatava F.	9. Nock S.
10. McClutchie L.	10. Reihana R.
11. O'Donnell B.	11. Murray H.
12. Higgins K.	12. Latu T.
13. Grigg N.	13. Evans C.
14. Fomai N.	14. Nichols Q.
15. Godfrey H.	15. Trainor J.
Substitutes
16. Thompson T.	16. Asiata R.
17. Hay-Horton H.	17. Fono E.
18. Apikotoa S. L.	18. Tuungafasi L.
19. Cridge G.	19. Hallam-Eames L.
20. Flanders C.	20. Peita T.
21. Enari E.	21. Milo-Harris L.
22. Toala D.	22. Hawkins D.
23. Protheroe M.	23. Salmon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 16)
3', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
11', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
18', Reihana R. (Penalty Goal),
21', Devery J. (Try),
22', McClutchie L. (Conversion Goal),
24', Latu T. (Try),
25', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
28', McClutchie L. (Try),
29', McClutchie L. (Conversion Goal),
34', O'Donnell B. (Try),
35', McClutchie L. (Missed Conversion),
40', Smith S. (Try),
40+1', McClutchie L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (29 - 14)
43', McClutchie L. (Try),
45', McClutchie L. (Conversion Goal),
47', Moulds M. (Try),
48', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
52', O'Donnell B. (Try),
53', McClutchie L. (Missed Conversion),
56', Smith S. (Try),
57', McClutchie L. (Conversion Goal),
64', Nock S. (Try),
65', Reihana R. (Conversion Goal),
67', Thompson T. (Try),
68', Godfrey H. (Missed Conversion),
73', Protheroe M. (Try),
74', McClutchie L. (Missed Conversion),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hawkes Bay won 4.

In this match Hawkes Bay is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hawkes Bay won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 312-268.

Including matches at home between the teams Hawkes Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 220-139.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
17.08.24	Hawkes Bay - Southland	31:17 ✺
10.08.24	North Harbour - Hawkes Bay	32:41 ✺
20.10.23	Taranaki - Hawkes Bay	22:19 ✺
14.10.23	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	24:25 ✺
07.10.23	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	28:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW
- Northland
New Zealand NPC
16.08.24	Northland - Manawatu	35:18 ✺
09.08.24	Canterbury - Northland	34:21 ✺
29.09.23	Auckland - Northland	27:26 ✺
22.09.23	Northland - Bay of Plenty	26:32 ✺
16.09.23	North Harbour - Northland	50:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
01.09.23	Northland - Hawkes Bay	44:21
27.11.20	Hawkes Bay - Northland	36:24
16.10.20	Hawkes Bay - Northland	33:17
31.08.19	Northland - Hawkes Bay	28:43
26.09.18	Hawkes Bay - Northland	55:41
07.10.17	Northland - Hawkes Bay	34:7
16.08.15	Hawkes Bay - Northland	39:10

Hawkes Bay - Northland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide