Match Info

Bunnings NPC - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sky Stadium (Wellington) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	15:05	Stan Sport
New Zealand	17:05	Sky Sport 1
International	05:05	RugbyPass TV


	Wellington		Hawkes Bay

	1	X	2
	2.44	26	1.56
	2.52	22.69	1.58	Watch
	2.31	23.41	1.51
				Watch
	2.44	26	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.2)	24.53 ↓ (24.93)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wellington
37.6%

Draw
3.7%

Hawkes Bay
58.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

3.7%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Wellington - Hawkes Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.

Hawkes Bay could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 388:415. (average 25.9:27.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 206:174. (average 29.4:24.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wellington Rugby
New Zealand NPC
03.10.25	Wellington - Bay of Plenty	26:33 ✺
26.09.25	Taranaki - Wellington	39:20 ✺
19.09.25	Wellington - Southland	75:19 ✺
11.09.25	Northland - Wellington	43:26 ✺
05.09.25	Hawkes Bay - Wellington	45:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
18.10.25	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	43:19 ✺
11.10.25	Hawkes Bay - Taranaki	26:12 ✺
04.10.25	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	10:38 ✺
25.09.25	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	45:28 ✺
19.09.25	Taranaki - Hawkes Bay	38:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
05.09.25	Hawkes Bay - Wellington	45:19
04.10.24	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	46:28
14.10.23	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	24:25
29.09.23	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	18:20
07.10.22	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	28:21
17.09.22	Hawkes Bay - Wellington	12:19
25.09.21	Wellington - Hawkes Bay	28:31

Wellington - Hawkes Bay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Wellington - Hawkes Bay Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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