Match Info
Bunnings NPCDate: 5 September 2025, Friday ๐ Finished Location: McLean Park (Napier) ๐ค๏ธ ...
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Hawkes Bay |
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Wellington |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.4 |
26 |
3 |
|
 |
1.44 |
21 |
2.9 |
|
 |
1.5 |
26 |
2.45 |
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 |
1.4 |
25 |
2.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.76) |
24.5 ↑
(24) |
2.81 ↑
(2.08) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawkes Bay
63.7% | Draw
3.7% | Wellington
32.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawkes Bay's performance.Wellington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawkes Bay that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Hawkes Bay - Wellington Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Hawkes Bay will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:26 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 7)
- 2nd Half (21 - 12)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 2.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Hawkes Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 370:369. (average 26.4:26.4).Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 196:163. (average 28:23.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 04.10.24 | Wellington - Hawkes Bay | 46:28 | | 14.10.23 | Wellington - Hawkes Bay | 24:25 | | 29.09.23 | Wellington - Hawkes Bay | 18:20 | | 07.10.22 | Wellington - Hawkes Bay | 28:21 | | 17.09.22 | Hawkes Bay - Wellington | 12:19 | | 25.09.21 | Wellington - Hawkes Bay | 28:31 | | 07.11.20 | Hawkes Bay - Wellington | 34:18 |
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