Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 3


	Honda Heat		Ricoh Black Rams

	1	X	2
	1.65	29	2.22
	1.65	22.67	2.35	Watch
	1.62	23	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.46)	24.89 ↑ (20.75)	2.27 ↓ (2.82)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
56%

Draw
3.7%

Ricoh Black Rams
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

4.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

4.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Honda Heat's form might have worsened.

Ricoh Black Rams has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ricoh Black Rams's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honda Heat than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honda Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ricoh Black Rams than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ricoh Black Rams, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 39)
2nd Half (5 - 10)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Honda Heat might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Honda Heat will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 118:183. (average 23.6:36.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Honda Heat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:45. (average 18.5:22.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
04.04.26	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	24:17 ✺
29.03.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Honda Heat	17:43 ✺
22.03.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Honda Heat	22:24 ✺
14.03.26	Honda Heat - Canon Eagles	26:31 ✺
28.02.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Honda Heat	66:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWLL
- Ricoh Black Rams
Japan League One Rugby Union
05.04.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	19:40 ✺
29.03.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	33:7 ✺
21.03.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Ricoh Black Rams	31:7 ✺
14.03.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Shizuoka Blue Revs	37:33 ✺
27.02.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Ricoh Black Rams	14:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
26.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	32:28
11.05.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	67:22
20.12.24	Honda Heat - Ricoh Black Rams	23:21
09.03.24	Honda Heat - Ricoh Black Rams	14:24
01.09.18	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	39:31

Honda Heat - Ricoh Black Rams: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide