Match Info

League One - Round 11

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)


	Honda Heat		Canon Eagles

	1	X	2
	1.4	25	2.95
	1.4	22.78	3.18
	1.4	23	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.33)	23.59 ↑ (21.23)	3.04 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
65.8%

Draw
3.9%

Canon Eagles
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

4.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

4.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Canon Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honda Heat than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honda Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canon Eagles than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 16)
2nd Half (19 - 15)

Preview

Honda Heat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Canon Eagles is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Honda Heat is considered a favorite.

We predict that Honda Heat will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 107:109. (average 26.8:27.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Honda Heat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 67:95. (average 22.3:31.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
28.02.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Honda Heat	66:19 ✺
21.02.26	Honda Heat - Shizuoka Blue Revs	26:21 ✺
14.02.26	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Honda Heat	44:34 ✺
06.02.26	Honda Heat - Toshiba Brave Lupus	44:38 ✺
23.01.26	Honda Heat - Urayasu D-Rocks	32:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLWW
- Canon Eagles
Japan League One Rugby Union
28.02.26	Canon Eagles - Kubota Spears	10:28 ✺
22.02.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Canon Eagles	54:22 ✺
13.02.26	Canon Eagles - Ricoh Black Rams	31:53 ✺
07.02.26	Toyota Verblitz - Canon Eagles	14:20 ✺
24.01.26	Canon Eagles - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	32:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
22.02.25	Honda Heat - Canon Eagles	20:17
01.03.24	Honda Heat - Canon Eagles	21:50
09.12.18	Canon Eagles - Honda Heat	14:40
14.01.17	Honda Heat - Canon Eagles	26:28

Honda Heat - Canon Eagles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide