Match Info

League One - Round 18

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Mie Suzuka Sports Garden (Suzuka)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Honda Heat		Toyota Verblitz

	1	X	2
	1.6	28	2.32
	1.55	20.63	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)	24.32 ↑ (20.03)	2.48 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honda Heat
58.8%

Draw
3.8%

Toyota Verblitz
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

4.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

4.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honda Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Toyota Verblitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honda Heat than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyota Verblitz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 0)
2nd Half (7 - 19)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Honda Heat might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Honda Heat will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Honda Heat won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 123:256. (average 20.5:42.7).

Including home match between the teams, Honda Heat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honda Heat
Japan League One Rugby Union
02.05.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Honda Heat	24:19 ✺
25.04.26	Kubota Spears - Honda Heat	54:21 ✺
17.04.26	Honda Heat - Ricoh Black Rams	5:49 ✺
04.04.26	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	24:17 ✺
29.03.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Honda Heat	17:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWW
- Toyota Verblitz
Japan League One Rugby Union
02.05.26	Toyota Verblitz - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	38:54 ✺
26.04.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Toyota Verblitz	28:40 ✺
18.04.26	Toyota Verblitz - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	24:38 ✺
04.04.26	Toyota Verblitz - Kubota Spears	24:7 ✺
28.03.26	Canon Eagles - Toyota Verblitz	27:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
13.12.25	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	44:33
03.05.25	Honda Heat - Toyota Verblitz	30:38
28.12.24	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	17:21
17.02.24	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	54:7
06.03.21	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	45:3
01.02.20	Toyota Verblitz - Honda Heat	58:29

Honda Heat - Toyota Verblitz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide