Match Info

League One - Round 17

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Paloma Mizuho Stadium (Nagoya)


	Toyota Verblitz		Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.9
	1.49	23.12	2.77
	1.51	20	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)	21.37 ↑ (20)	2.73 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toyota Verblitz
62.1%

Draw
4.3%

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

4.5%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

4.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toyota Verblitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Toyota Verblitz aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 26)
2nd Half (26 - 28)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toyota Verblitz won 1.

In recent matches, Toyota Verblitz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Suntory Sungoliath is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Toyota Verblitz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Toyota Verblitz will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Toyota Verblitz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 217:296. (average 27.1:37).

Including home matches between the teams, Toyota Verblitz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 127:153. (average 31.8:38.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toyota Verblitz
Japan League One Rugby Union
26.04.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Toyota Verblitz	28:40 ✺
18.04.26	Toyota Verblitz - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	24:38 ✺
04.04.26	Toyota Verblitz - Kubota Spears	24:7 ✺
28.03.26	Canon Eagles - Toyota Verblitz	27:33 ✺
22.03.26	Toyota Verblitz - Shizuoka Blue Revs	24:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WLWWL
- Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath
Japan League One Rugby Union
25.04.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	49:28 ✺
18.04.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kubota Spears	22:27 ✺
04.04.26	Honda Heat - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	24:17 ✺
28.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Panasonic Wild Knights	34:36 ✺
20.03.26	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	35:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
20.12.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	43:25
27.04.25	Toyota Verblitz - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	28:45
04.01.25	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	30:30
16.03.24	Toyota Verblitz - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	38:42
05.03.23	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	20:27
16.01.22	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toyota Verblitz	50:8
27.03.21	Toyota Verblitz - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	36:39

Toyota Verblitz - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide