Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games 7's

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ireland 7s		South Africa 7s

	1	X	2
	1.67	13	2.37
	1.54	12	2.8
	1.55	12.57	2.88	Watch
	1.59	12	2.74
	1.59	13	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.76)	12.51 ↓ (20.92)	2.7 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 33.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ireland 7s
58.3%

Draw
7.4%

South Africa 7s
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

4.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

4.7%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ireland 7s has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ireland 7s's performance.

South Africa 7s has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa 7s might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ireland 7s than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ireland 7s that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa 7s than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Africa 7s could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. McNulty H. (C)	1. Grobbelaar C.
4. Roche M.	2. Oosthuizen R.
5. Ward Z.	4. Davids Z.
7. Conroy J.	5. Nortje Q.
8. Keenan H.	7. Leyds T.
10. Kennedy T.	8. Davids S. (C)
12. Comerford N.	12. van Wyk S.
Substitutes
1. Kelly J.	3. Visser I. B.
2. Smith A.	6. Pretorius T.
6. Mullins C.	9. Williams S.
9. Lennox H.	10. Specman R.
11. Mullin G.	11. Soyizwapi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
7', Conroy J. (Try),
2nd Half (5 - 5)
12', Kennedy T. (Try),
14', Davids S. (Try),

Preview

South Africa is Qualified for Olympic Games 7's (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ireland won 4.

Ireland in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

South Africa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ireland will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ireland to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ireland won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 258-374.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ireland 7s rugby
Sevens Europe Series - Germany
30.06.24	Ireland 7s - France 7s	19:14 ✺
30.06.24	Ireland 7s - Portugal 7s	14:12 ✺
29.06.24	Ireland 7s - Belgium 7s	36:7
29.06.24	Ireland 7s - Portugal 7s	24:14 ✺
Sevens World Series - Spain
02.06.24	Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s	12:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- South Africa 7s rugby
Olympic Games 7s Rugby
23.06.24	South Africa 7s - Great Britain 7s	14:5 ✺
23.06.24	South Africa 7s - Uganda 7s	26:0 ✺
22.06.24	South Africa 7s - Chile 7s	26:7 ✺
22.06.24	South Africa 7s - Tonga 7s	31:7 ✺
Sevens World Series - Spain
02.06.24	Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s	12:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Sevens World Series - Spain
02.06.24	Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s	12:7
31.05.24	Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s	26:21
Sevens World Series - Hong Kong
04.04.24	Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s	17:22
Sevens World Series - USA
01.03.24	Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s	17:0
Sevens World Series - Canada
24.02.24	Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s	22:10
Sevens World Series - South Africa
09.12.23	South Africa 7s - Ireland 7s	12:14
Sevens World Series - Singapore
08.04.23	South Africa 7s - Ireland 7s	12:5

Ireland 7s - South Africa 7s: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide