Match Info

WXV Global Series Women

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
World	RugbyPass TV


	Italy W		Japan W

	1	X	2
	1.07	35	8
	1.1	41	6.5
	1.07	35	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.14)	37 ↑ (36)	7.63 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy W
85.4%

Draw
2.5%

Japan W
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.6%

2.6%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Japan W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Italy W - Japan W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 14)
2nd Half (24 - 7)

Preview

In this match, Italy enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Italy has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 104:38 (averaging 26:9.5 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Italy W	2	1	0	1	84:62	4
11	Japan W	2	0	0	2	45:86	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W rugby
Six Nations Women
17.05.26	Wales W - Italy W	24:43 ✺
09.05.26	Italy W - England W	33:61 ✺
25.04.26	Italy W - Scotland W	41:14 ✺
18.04.26	Ireland W - Italy W	57:20 ✺
11.04.26	France W - Italy W	40:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL
- Japan W rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union Women
04.09.26	Japan W - Fiji W	12:15 ✺
World Cup Rugby Union Women
07.09.25	Japan W - Spain W	29:21 ✺
31.08.25	New Zealand W - Japan W	62:19 ✺
24.08.25	Ireland W - Japan W	42:14 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union Women
09.08.25	Italy W - Japan W	33:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union Women
09.08.25	Italy W - Japan W	33:15
WXV 2 Rugby Women
13.10.23	Italy W - Japan W	28:15
World Cup Rugby Union Women
22.10.22	Japan W - Italy W	8:21
22.08.17	Italy W - Japan W	22:0

Italy W - Japan W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide