Match Info

JAPAN: League One

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Kintetsu Liners		Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars

	1	X	2
	2.6	21	1.5
	2.6	18	1.56
	2.62	23	1.5
	2.6	18	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.62)	20 ↓ (23)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kintetsu Liners
35.3%

Draw
4.6%

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

4.5%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kintetsu Liners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kintetsu Liners than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kintetsu Liners - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:36

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka K.	1. Hosoda H.
2. Kaneko K.	2. Miyazato Y.
3. Mun Y.	3. Ishii T.
4. Toolis B.	4. Tokuda R.
5. Waqa S.	5. Steenkamp W.
6. Tafa P.	6. Tsuruya M. (C)
7. Brown J.	7. Sakamoto Y.
8. Nonaka S. (C)	8. Mikaele M.
9. Kawamura K.	9. Stratton J.
10. Cooper Q.	10. Grayson J.
11. Masirewa S.	11. Koizumi S.
12. Stehlin P.	12. Vaiahu T.
13. Hendrickson T.	13. Iwashita J.
14. Nohra J.	14. Paltridge B.
15. Takeda Y.	15. Ishida K.
Substitutes
16. Makalio A.	16. Moulds M.
17. Inoue Y.	17. Sakamoto S.
18. Iwakami R.	18. Morimoto J.
19. Blackwell J.	19. Linde D.
20. Sugawara T.	20. Tavalea T.
21. Nakamura T.	21. Fukuyama R.
22. Okamura K.	22. Karauria-Henry B.
23. Ekawa T.	23. Tanaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 26)
5', Tsuruya M. (Try),
5', Grayson J. (Conversion Goal),
8', Mikaele M. (Try),
9', Grayson J. (Conversion Goal),
14', Cooper Q. (Penalty Goal),
16', Mikaele M. (Try),
19', Nohra J. (Try),
29', Grayson J. (Try),
30', Grayson J. (Conversion Goal),
33', Cooper Q. (Try),
35', Cooper Q. (Conversion Goal),
38', Stehlin P. (Try),
39', Cooper Q. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 20)
42', Tokuda R. (Try),
43', Grayson J. (Conversion Goal),
49', Brown J. (Try),
50', Cooper Q. (Conversion Goal),
61', Paltridge B. (Try),
62', Grayson J. (Conversion Goal),
66', Grayson J. (Drop Goal),
70', Grayson J. (Penalty Goal),
72', Nohra J. (Conversion Goal),
74', Inoue Y. (Try),

Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Kintetsu Liners could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kintetsu Liners won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 58-68.

Including matches at home between the teams Kintetsu Liners won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kintetsu Liners
Japan League One Rugby Union
27.04.24	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kintetsu Liners	33:17 ✺
21.04.24	Kintetsu Liners - Ricoh Black Rams	34:23 ✺
12.04.24	Kintetsu Liners - Canon Eagles	33:52 ✺
06.04.24	Toyota Verblitz - Kintetsu Liners	47:30 ✺
24.03.24	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Kintetsu Liners	46:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLLL
- Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars
Japan League One Rugby Union
26.04.24	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Ricoh Black Rams	24:31 ✺
20.04.24	Canon Eagles - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	43:19 ✺
13.04.24	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Toyota Verblitz	20:34 ✺
06.04.24	Panasonic Wild Knights - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	53:12 ✺
24.03.24	Honda Heat - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	26:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
08.12.23	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Kintetsu Liners	30:29
04.03.23	Kintetsu Liners - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	29:38

Kintetsu Liners - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide