Match Info

League One - Round 11

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Edogawa Stadium (Tokyo)


	Kubota Spears		Panasonic Wild Knights

	1	X	2
	1.66	23	2.26
	1.66	22.42	2.34
	1.62	23	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	22.81 ↑ (21.48)	2.28 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kubota Spears
55.8%

Draw
4%

Panasonic Wild Knights
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

4.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

4.1%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kubota Spears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Panasonic Wild Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kubota Spears than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panasonic Wild Knights than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 15)
2nd Half (20 - 17)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kubota won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Kubota might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Kubota will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kubota won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 168:253. (average 18.7:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kubota won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 49:84. (average 24.5:42).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kubota Spears
Japan League One Rugby Union
28.02.26	Canon Eagles - Kubota Spears	10:28 ✺
20.02.26	Kubota Spears - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	26:10 ✺
14.02.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Kubota Spears	19:42 ✺
07.02.26	Kubota Spears - Urayasu D-Rocks	48:14 ✺
23.01.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Kubota Spears	24:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- Panasonic Wild Knights
Japan League One Rugby Union
28.02.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Honda Heat	66:19 ✺
21.02.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Panasonic Wild Knights	40:24 ✺
14.02.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Toyota Verblitz	26:20 ✺
06.02.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Panasonic Wild Knights	6:13 ✺
24.01.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	31:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
25.05.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	24:28
03.05.25	Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights	29:29
28.12.24	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	26:24
22.03.24	Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights	20:55
20.05.23	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	15:17
04.03.23	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	30:15
22.05.22	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	24:10

Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide