Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 4

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby
Asia	—	Premier Sports Rugby Asia
France	16:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, France 2
Malta	16:15	TSN Malta 1
Nigeria	16:15	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	10:15	Movistar Deportes
Portugal	15:15	Sport TV7
South Africa	17:15	SuperSport Rugby
Spain	16:15	M+ Deportes
United Kingdom	15:15	FloRugby.com, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	La Rochelle		Harlequins

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9.5
	1.1	40	6.6
	1.12	30.19	6.84	Watch
	1.11	34	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↑ (1.02)	36.3 ↓ (45.67)	7.24 ↓ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Rochelle
84.6%

Draw
2.6%

Harlequins
12.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

90.3%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Rochelle's form might have worsened.

Harlequins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harlequins's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

La Rochelle - Harlequins Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. La Rochelle will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaddouri A.	1. Kerrod S.
2. Latu T.	2. Walker J.
3. Atonio U. (C)	3. Delgado P.
4. Kante-Samba C.	4. Launchbury J.
5. Boudehent P.	5. Petti G.
6. Jegou O.	6. Cunningham-South C.
7. Botia L.	7. Kenningham J.
8. Cancoriet J.	8. Dombrandt A. (C)
9. Berjon T.	9. Friday L.
10. West I.	10. Smith M.
11. Bollengier N.	11. Murley C.
12. Daunivucu S.	12. Bradley B.
13. Seuteni U.	13. Northmore L.
14. Niniashvili D.	14. David N.
15. Leyds D.	15. Green T.
Substitutes
16. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.	16. Riley S.
17. Wardi R.	17. Hobson W.
18. Sclavi J.	18. Williams H.
19. Kuntelia A.	19. Treadwell K.
20. Alldritt G.	20. Carr Z.
21. Fraindt K.	21. Lawday T.
22. Favre J.	22. Green M.
23. Nowell J.	23. Evans J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 10)
11', Niniashvili D. (Try),
12', West I. (Conversion Goal),
33', Smith M. (Penalty Goal),
39', Atonio U. 🟨,
40', Botia L. ↓, Wardi R. ↑,
40', Murley C. (Try),
40+1', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 17)
48', Sclavi J. ↓, Alldritt G. ↑,
53', Green T. (Try),
54', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
58', Smith M. 🟨,
60', Atonio U. ↓, Hastoy A. ↑,
61', Nowell J. (Try),
65', Berjon T. (Try),
72', Lawday T. (Try),
73', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
79', Smith M. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Harlequins may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, La Rochelle is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, La Rochelle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:27.

Outrights of European Rugby Champions Cup for now

Stade Rochelais: 3.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Rochelle
European Rugby Champions Cup
10.01.26	Leinster - La Rochelle	25:24 ✺
French Top 14
04.01.26	La Rochelle - Toulon	66:0 ✺
28.12.25	Toulouse - La Rochelle	60:14 ✺
20.12.25	La Rochelle - Aviron Bayonnais	49:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Stormers - La Rochelle	42:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Harlequin FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.01.26	Harlequins - Stormers	61:10 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
03.01.26	Northampton Saints - Harlequins	66:21 ✺
26.12.25	Sale Sharks - Harlequins	43:17 ✺
20.12.25	Harlequins - Bristol Rugby	14:40 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.25	Harlequins - Aviron Bayonnais	68:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
14.10.17	Harlequins - La Rochelle	27:34

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