The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leicester Tigers 45.3%
Draw 4.6%
Northampton Saints 50.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
4.7%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
4.9%
42.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northampton Saints's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Leicester Tigers will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Premiership Rugby Playoffs - Semi - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Premiership Rugby Playoffs - Semi - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Northampton Saints may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leicester Tigers has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 555:468 (averaging 27.8:23.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leicester Tigers against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 305:197 goals (averaging 30.5:19.7 per game).
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van der Flier A. 
Kundiona C. 
Henderson C. 
Wainwright A. 
Kemeny J. 
Kata S. 
Asiata R. 
Fischetti D. 
Thompson J. 
Mescht JJ 
Moro J. 
