The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leicester Tigers 55.9%
Draw 4.3%
Northampton Saints 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
4.4%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
4.3%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Northampton Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Saints than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Leicester Tigers will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Northampton Saints will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Smith N.
1. Iyogun E.
2. Blamire J.
2. Smith R.
3. Heyes J.
3. Green L.
4. Chessum O. (C)
4. Lockett T.
5. Martin G.
5. Mescht JJ
6. Liebenberg H.
6. Kemeny J.
7. Reffell T.
7. Graham S.
8. Moro J.
8. Chick C.
9. van Poortvliet J.
9. Mitchell A.
10. O'Connor J.
10. Smith F.
11. Hassell-Collins O.
11. Hendy G.
12. Bailey O.
12. Dingwall F.
13. Wand W.
13. Hutchinson R.
14. Radwan A.
14. Freeman T.
15. Steward F.
15. Furbank G. (C)
Substitutes
16. Clare C.
16. Wright C.
17. van der Flier A.
17. West T.
18. Hurd W.
18. Millar-Mills E.
19. Henderson C.
19. Prowse E.
20. Williams S.
20. Munga C.
21. Whiteley T.
21. Pollock H.
22. Kata S.
22. McParland A.
23. Perese I.
23. Litchfield T.
Coaches
. Parling G.
. Dowson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (19 - 5)
7', Martin G. (Try),
7', Chick C. 🟨,
8', O'Connor J. (Missed Conversion),
20', Freeman T. (Try),
21', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
25', Hassell-Collins O. (Try),
26', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
26', Martin G. ↓, Henderson C. ↑,
31', Henderson C. ↓, Martin G. ↑,
31', Blamire J. (Try),
32', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 12)
41', Smith R. ↓, Wright C. ↑,
44', O'Connor J. (Penalty Goal),
46', Radwan A. (Try),
47', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
48', Kemeny J. 🟨,
49', Mescht JJ ↓, Prowse E. ↑,
49', Blamire J. (Try),
50', Heyes J. 🟨,
50', Wright C. 🟨,
50', O'Connor J. (Missed Conversion),
51', Graham S. ↓, Pollock H. ↑,
52', O'Connor J. ↓, Kata S. ↑,
52', Mitchell A. ↓, McParland A. ↑,
56', Iyogun E. ↓, Millar-Mills E. ↑,
56', Green L. ↓, West T. ↑,
56', Smith N. ↓, van der Flier A. ↑,
56', Reffell T. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
62', Blamire J. ↓, Clare C. ↑,
66', Heyes J. ↓, Perese I. ↑,
67', Clare C. 🟨,
67', van Poortvliet J. ↓, Whiteley T. ↑,
68', Steward F. (Try),
69', Bailey O. (Conversion Goal),
70', Hendy G. (Try),
71', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
78', Freeman T. (Try),
78', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
80+3', 🟥,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 3.
Leicester Tigers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Northampton Saints is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
We predict that Leicester Tigers will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Tigers won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 520:466. (average 26:23.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Tigers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 301:240. (average 27.4:21.8).