The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Saints 74.4%
Draw 3.5%
Bath 22.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.1%
5.2%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Saints's performance.
Bath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Northampton Saints - Bath Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:26
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iyogun E.
1. Kirk S.
2. Langdon C.
2. Tuipulotu K.
3. Kundiona C.
3. Griffin A.
4. Coles A.
4. Jeanes W.
5. Mescht JJ
5. Molony R.
6. Kemeny J.
6. Bayliss J.
7. Pollock H.
7. Reid M. (C)
8. Chick C.
8. Green A.
9. Mitchell A.
9. Carr-Smith T.
10. Smith F.
10. Russell F.
11. Sleightholme O.
11. Griffin C.
12. Dingwall F. (C)
12. Redpath C.
13. Hutchinson R.
13. Ojomoh M.
14. Freeman T.
14. Cokanasiga J.
15. Pater J.
15. Carreras S.
Substitutes
16. Smith R.
16. Dunn T.
17. Fischetti D.
17. Obano B.
18. Neculai I.
18. Stuart W.
19. Lockett T.
19. Ewels C.
20. Prowse E.
20. Hill T.
21. Taylor J.
21. Davies I.
22. McParland A.
22. Lawrence O.
23. Belleau A.
23. Coetzee J.
Coaches
. Dowson P.
. Christoffel van Graan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (26 - 29)
6', Smith F. (Try),
7', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
9', Carr-Smith T. (Try),
10', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
12', Griffin C. (Try),
13', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
15', Sleightholme O. (Try),
16', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
22', Reid M. ↓, Hill T. ↑,
26', Bayliss J. 🟨,
27', Freeman T. (Try),
27', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
29', Griffin A. (Try),
30', Russell F. (Missed Conversion),
31', Green A. (Try),
32', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
35', Dingwall F. (Try),
36', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
40', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (45 - 19)
41', Green A. (Try),
41', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
44', Pater J. (Try),
45', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
46', Mescht JJ ↓, Prowse E. ↑,
48', Carreras S. (Try),
49', Russell F. (Missed Conversion),
51', Kemeny J. (Try),
52', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
52', Jeanes W. ↓, Coetzee J. ↑,
54', Tuipulotu K. ↓, Obano B. ↑,
54', Griffin A. ↓, Dunn T. ↑,
54', Molony R. ↓, Stuart W. ↑,
54', Kirk S. ↓, Ewels C. ↑,
56', Mitchell A. (Try),
57', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
58', Kundiona C. ↓, Neculai I. ↑,
58', Iyogun E. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
58', Langdon C. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
58', Pollock H. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
60', Sleightholme O. (Try),
61', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
62', Mitchell A. ↓, McParland A. ↑,
62', Sleightholme O. (Try),
62', Cokanasiga J. ↓, Lawrence O. ↑,
63', Lawrence O. 🟨,
63', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
64', Bayliss J. (Try),
65', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
67', Coles A. (Try),
68', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
70', Kemeny J. ↓, Lockett T. ↑,
70', Griffin C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
74', Pater J. ↓, Belleau A. ↑,
76', Freeman T. (Try),
77', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton Saints won 3.
Bath could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Northampton Saints is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Northampton Saints has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 529:550 (averaging 26.5:27.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Northampton Saints against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 305:265 goals (averaging 30.5:26.5 per game).
Australia
Czech Republic
Slovakia
United Kingdom
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Iyogun E. 
Kundiona C. 
Griffin A. 
Mescht JJ 
Molony R. 
Kemeny J. 
Bayliss J. 
Carreras S. 
Fischetti D. 
Belleau A. 
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