Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Lions		Glasgow Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.42	25	2.9
	1.44	22.93	2.97	Watch
	1.4	26	2.88
	1.41	21	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.27)	23.19 ↓ (24.85)	2.93 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
64.7%

Draw
4%

Glasgow Warriors
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.2%

3.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lions's form might have worsened.

Glasgow Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Glasgow Warriors's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lions - Glasgow Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 7)
2nd Half (28 - 5)

Preview

Glasgow Warriors has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Glasgow Warriors has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lions is the team to beat.

We predict that Lions will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 109:131. (average 21.8:26.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:45. (average 39.5:22.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Glasgow Warriors	3	2	1	0	95:72	13
7	Lions	3	2	0	1	77:102	9

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Glasgow Warriors: 14.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Lions - Newport Gwent Dragons	42:26 ✺
21.03.26	Lions - Edinburgh	54:17 ✺
28.02.26	Lions - Stormers	24:10 ✺
21.02.26	Lions - Sharks	34:22 ✺
31.01.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	17:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL
- Glasgow Warriors
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Toulon	19:22 ✺
04.04.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	25:21 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Benetton Treviso	31:10 ✺
21.03.26	Glasgow Warriors - Leinster	38:17 ✺
28.02.26	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	15:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
29.03.25	Glasgow Warriors - Lions	42:0
18.05.24	Lions - Glasgow Warriors	44:21
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.04.23	Glasgow Warriors - Lions	31:21
United Rugby Championship
25.02.23	Lions - Glasgow Warriors	35:24
09.10.21	Glasgow Warriors - Lions	13:9

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