Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 13

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Scotstoun Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Glasgow Warriors		Leinster

	1	X	2
	2.2	23	1.73
	2.19	24	1.69
	2.17	20.12	1.77	Watch
	2.2	21	1.73
	2.3	21	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.61)	21.82 ↑ (20.24)	1.72 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glasgow Warriors
41.9%

Draw
4.2%

Leinster
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

4.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glasgow Warriors's form might have worsened.

Leinster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leinster's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Glasgow Warriors - Leinster Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Leinster will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Leinster (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leinster (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 12)
2nd Half (12 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 1.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 382:650. (average 19.1:32.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Glasgow Warriors won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 211:227. (average 21.1:22.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Glasgow Warriors	3	2	1	0	95:72	13
11	Leinster	3	1	0	2	75:58	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
28.02.26	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	15:10 ✺
30.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Munster	31:22 ✺
24.01.26	Zebre - Glasgow Warriors	21:26 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Saracens	28:3 ✺
10.01.26	Clermont - Glasgow Warriors	21:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW
- Leinster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
27.02.26	Cardiff Rugby - Leinster	8:7 ✺
31.01.26	Leinster - Edinburgh	28:20 ✺
24.01.26	Connacht - Leinster	23:34 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Leinster	13:22 ✺
10.01.26	Leinster - La Rochelle	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
07.06.25	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	37:19
17.05.25	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	13:5
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.04.25	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	52:0
United Rugby Championship
22.10.23	Glasgow Warriors - Leinster	43:25
26.11.22	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	40:5
04.06.22	Leinster - Glasgow Warriors	76:14
22.10.21	Glasgow Warriors - Leinster	15:31

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