Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 13

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Lions		Edinburgh

	1	X	2
	1.2	34	4.5
	1.18	26	5
	1.2	25.5	4.9	Watch
	1.18	26	5
	1.21	21	4.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 (1.19)	26.5 ↓ (29.48)	4.88 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
77.5%

Draw
3.5%

Edinburgh
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.2%

3.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lions - Edinburgh Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (35 - 0)
2nd Half (19 - 17)

Preview

Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lions is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lions won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 120:90. (average 24:18).

Including home matches between the teams, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 70:30. (average 35:15).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Edinburgh	3	3	0	0	80:54	14
7	Lions	3	2	0	1	77:102	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.02.26	Lions - Stormers	24:10 ✺
21.02.26	Lions - Sharks	34:22 ✺
31.01.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	17:52 ✺
23.01.26	Ospreys - Lions	24:24 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Perpignan - Lions	20:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTT
- Edinburgh Rugby
United Rugby Championship
13.03.26	Edinburgh - Ulster	19:40 ✺
27.02.26	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	24:19 ✺
31.01.26	Leinster - Edinburgh	28:20 ✺
23.01.26	Edinburgh - Blue Bulls	17:19 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.01.26	Bath - Edinburgh	63:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.25	Edinburgh - Lions	24:12
United Rugby Championship
05.10.24	Lions - Edinburgh	55:21
28.10.23	Edinburgh - Lions	17:16
07.10.22	Edinburgh - Lions	19:22
02.04.22	Lions - Edinburgh	15:9

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