Match Info
United Rugby Championship - Round 12Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
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Connacht |
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Glasgow Warriors |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.57 |
21 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.62 |
20 |
2.37 |
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 |
1.64 |
20.32 |
2.39 |
 Watch |
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1.62 |
21 |
2.38 |
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1.68 |
19.1 |
2.31 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.71) |
20.28 ↑
(20.11) |
2.39 ↑
(2.27) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Connacht
56.8% | Draw
4.6% | Glasgow Warriors
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Connacht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Glasgow Warriors than the current prediction. (-3%)Connacht - Glasgow Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
Connacht will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Connacht will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:20 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2nd Half (12 - 10)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 2.In recent matches, Connacht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Glasgow Warriors is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins). Connacht might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Connacht will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 351:508. (average 18.5:26.7).Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 183:264. (average 16.6:24).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | Glasgow Warriors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 95:72 | 13 |
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| 14 | Connacht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 56:84 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| United Rugby Championship | | | 26.01.25 | Glasgow Warriors - Connacht | 22:19 | | 28.10.23 | Connacht - Glasgow Warriors | 34:24 | | 22.04.23 | Glasgow Warriors - Connacht | 29:27 | | 29.01.22 | Connacht - Glasgow Warriors | 20:42 | | 03.10.20 | Connacht - Glasgow Warriors | 28:24 | | 22.02.19 | Glasgow Warriors - Connacht | 43:17 | | 01.09.18 | Connacht - Glasgow Warriors | 26:27 |
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