The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lyon 72.8%
Draw 4%
La Rochelle 23.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.4%
4.5%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
4.2%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Rochelle than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
In this matchup, Lyon is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lyon has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 475:509 (averaging 23.8:25.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lyon against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 303:236 goals (averaging 27.5:21.5 per game).