Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 8

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yarrow Stadium (New Plymouth) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	13:35	Stan Sport
New Zealand	16:35	Sky Sport 1
South Africa	05:35	SuperSport Rugby


	Taranaki		Manawatu

	1	X	2
	1.02	26	11
	1.05	45	9.55
	1.04	54.1	11.31	Watch
	1.02	51	13
	1.03	50	14.7	Watch
	1.05	45	9.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↓ (1.26)	45.18 ↑ (26)	11.52 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-25)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranaki
89.9%

Draw
2.1%

Manawatu
8.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.4%

3.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taranaki's performance.

Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manawatu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Taranaki - Manawatu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 45:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pokai J.	1. Blake G.
2. Riccitelli R.	2. Va'a P.
3. Bent M.	3. Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F.
4. Parete J.	4. Taula J.
5. Lord J.	5. Momsen J.
6. Peters N.	6. Bason M.
7. Loft M.	7. Crosswell E.
8. Boshier K.	8. Iose B.
9. Crowley L.	9. Campbell L.
10. Jacomb J.	10. Cameron B.
11. Kooman B.	11. Moeakiola A.
12. Reti E.	12. Leef C.
13. Setu J.	13. Wild D.
14. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.	14. Filimone T.
15. Samate O.	15. MacDonald R.
Substitutes
16. Slater B.	16. Bason V.
17. Lawrence P.	17. Gavigan J.
18. O'Neill M.	18. Yates F.
19. Sa J.	19. Shaw L.
20. Morgan J.	20. Howden T.
21. Nawai L.	21. Viljoen J.
22. Lennox A.	22. Armstrong-Ravula I.
23. Naholo K.	23. Emery J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 12)
5', MacDonald R. (Try),
6', Cameron B. (Conversion Goal),
12', Sa J. (Try),
13', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
16', Moeakiola A. (Try),
40+4', Boshier K. (Try),
40+5', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 19)
48', Sa J. (Try),
49', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
50', Samate O. (Try),
51', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
60', Moeakiola A. (Try),
61', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
62', Crosswell E. (Try),
62', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
67', Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J. (Try),
78', Coles S. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taranaki won 5.

Taranaki is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Manawatu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Taranaki is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Taranaki won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 381-210.

Including matches at home between the teams Taranaki won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 257-142.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranaki
New Zealand NPC
25.09.24	Taranaki - North Harbour	31:25 ✺
20.09.24	Hawkes Bay - Taranaki	19:63 ✺
13.09.24	Bay of Plenty - Taranaki	33:15 ✺
07.09.24	Taranaki - Waikato	25:19 ✺
30.08.24	Taranaki - Otago	22:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- Manawatu
New Zealand NPC
21.09.24	Manawatu - Otago	10:28 ✺
18.09.24	Manawatu - Southland	26:21 ✺
14.09.24	North Harbour - Manawatu	58:19 ✺
06.09.24	Bay of Plenty - Manawatu	68:14 ✺
01.09.24	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	26:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
13.08.23	Manawatu - Taranaki	17:26
16.09.22	Taranaki - Manawatu	34:24
22.10.21	Taranaki - Manawatu	47:35
07.11.20	Manawatu - Taranaki	19:35
16.08.19	Manawatu - Taranaki	10:13
24.08.18	Taranaki - Manawatu	41:21
11.10.17	Taranaki - Manawatu	46:25

Taranaki - Manawatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide