Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)


	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars		Toshiba Brave Lupus

	1	X	2
	2.85	21	1.45
	2.86	22.2	1.47
	2.75	23	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.64)	22.07 ↑ (20.82)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars
32.6%

Draw
4.2%

Toshiba Brave Lupus
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

4.4%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

4.5%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Toshiba Brave Lupus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toshiba Brave Lupus than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 28)
2nd Half (19 - 17)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitsubishi DynaBoars won 0.

Mitsubishi DynaBoars has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Toshiba Brave Lupus has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Toshiba Brave Lupus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mitsubishi DynaBoars won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 126:323. (average 18:46.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mitsubishi DynaBoars won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 58:122. (average 19.3:40.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars
Japan League One Rugby Union
04.04.26	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Shizuoka Blue Revs	41:45 ✺
29.03.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	33:7 ✺
20.03.26	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	35:32 ✺
14.03.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	61:10 ✺
06.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	15:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LLWLW
- Toshiba Brave Lupus
Japan League One Rugby Union
05.04.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Urayasu D-Rocks	40:24 ✺
27.03.26	Kubota Spears - Toshiba Brave Lupus	51:7 ✺
22.03.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Honda Heat	22:24 ✺
15.03.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Toshiba Brave Lupus	60:21 ✺
27.02.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Ricoh Black Rams	14:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
10.01.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	47:22
03.05.25	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Toshiba Brave Lupus	28:45
28.12.24	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	61:8
17.03.24	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	41:19
14.04.23	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	52:19
13.01.23	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Toshiba Brave Lupus	23:19
06.03.21	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Toshiba Brave Lupus	7:58

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Toshiba Brave Lupus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide