Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 13

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 3


	Mont-De-Marsan		Oyonnax Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.42	22	2.95
	1.47	22.2	2.86	Watch
	1.44	23	2.88
	1.41	17	2.95
	1.45	21	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	21.03 ↑ (18.14)	2.9 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mont-De-Marsan
63.9%

Draw
4.4%

Oyonnax Rugby
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

5.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.7%

6.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mont-De-Marsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Oyonnax Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mont-De-Marsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonnax Rugby than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Mont De Marsan - Oyonnax Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 14)
2nd Half (5 - 22)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 5.

Mont-De-Marsan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Oyonnax is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Mont-De-Marsan is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 297:297. (average 22.8:22.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mont-De-Marsan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 150:104. (average 25:17.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
28.11.25	US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan	68:14 ✺
14.11.25	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	6:16 ✺
07.11.25	Brive - Mont-De-Marsan	68:10 ✺
31.10.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Nevers	71:10 ✺
24.10.25	Biarritz - Mont-De-Marsan	35:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Oyonnax Rugby
French Pro D2
28.11.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Béziers	35:24 ✺
14.11.25	Agen - Oyonnax Rugby	23:27 ✺
07.11.25	Oyonnax Rugby - SA XV Charente	50:21 ✺
31.10.25	Stade Aurillacois - Oyonnax Rugby	22:20 ✺
24.10.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby	30:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
11.04.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Oyonnax Rugby	15:9
29.11.24	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	24:30
26.01.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	25:26
16.09.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Oyonnax Rugby	26:15
18.02.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Oyonnax Rugby	27:20
08.10.21	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	36:19
23.04.21	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	33:27

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