Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Charles-Mathon (Oyonnax)


	Oyonnax Rugby		Provence Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.43	24	2.9
	1.44	20.93	2.99	Watch
	1.42	28	2.94
	1.53	21	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	22.99 ↑ (20)	2.87 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oyonnax Rugby
63.7%

Draw
4%

Provence Rugby
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

4.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

4.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oyonnax Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The chances for Provence Rugby have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oyonnax Rugby than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Provence will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 19)
2nd Half (9 - 6)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oyonnax won 2.

Oyonnax has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Provence Rugby is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Provence Rugby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Oyonnax is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Oyonnax will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oyonnax won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 365:275. (average 28.1:21.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oyonnax won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 226:130. (average 32.3:18.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oyonnax Rugby
French Pro D2
16.10.25	Vannes - Oyonnax Rugby	36:17 ✺
03.10.25	Brive - Oyonnax Rugby	33:18 ✺
26.09.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Valence Romans Drôme	55:8 ✺
19.09.25	US Dax - Oyonnax Rugby	18:14 ✺
12.09.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Colomiers	30:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Provence Rugby
French Pro D2
17.10.25	Provence Rugby - Nevers	39:33 ✺
03.10.25	FC Grenoble - Provence Rugby	23:24 ✺
26.09.25	Provence Rugby - US Dax	42:15 ✺
19.09.25	Vannes - Provence Rugby	40:7 ✺
12.09.25	Provence Rugby - Biarritz	52:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
16.05.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby	47:31
27.09.24	Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby	38:3
14.04.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby	27:7
07.10.22	Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby	19:19
06.05.22	Oyonnax Rugby - Provence Rugby	16:20
10.12.21	Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby	27:33
21.02.21	Provence Rugby - Oyonnax Rugby	19:39

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