Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 19

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 2


	Montauban		Agen

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.4
	1.3	26	3.4
	1.36	24	3.15
	1.35	35	3.4	Watch
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.35	26	3.3
	1.36	24	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)	25.86 ↑ (21.59)	3.29 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
68.4%

Draw
3.6%

Agen
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

4.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

4.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Agen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montauban - Agen Predictions

Users Predictions: Montauban will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 0)
2', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
14', Reilhac Y. (Try),
14', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
32', Reilhac Y. (Try),
32', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
40+1', Reilhac Y. (Try),
2nd Half (14 - 14)
49', Notshe S. (Try),
50', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
58', Fineanganofo F. (Try),
59', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
66', Tuimauga T. (Try),
66', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
72', (Try),
73', (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montauban won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Montauban is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Montauban to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Montauban won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 250:306 (average 20.8:25.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Montauban won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 114:122 (average 22.8:24.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
24.01.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Montauban	21:33 ✺
17.01.25	Montauban - Valence Romans Drôme	25:23 ✺
09.01.25	FC Grenoble - Montauban	35:15 ✺
20.12.24	Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby	30:33 ✺
13.12.24	Béziers - Montauban	34:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- SU Agen Lot-et-Garonne
French Pro D2
24.01.25	Nevers - Agen	29:28 ✺
16.01.25	Agen - Biarritz	39:26 ✺
10.01.25	Agen - Provence Rugby	10:17 ✺
19.12.24	Brive - Agen	32:18 ✺
13.12.24	Agen - Stade Aurillacois	43:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
14.11.24	Agen - Montauban	18:25
01.03.24	Montauban - Agen	26:27
15.12.23	Agen - Montauban	10:12
24.03.23	Agen - Montauban	22:26
09.09.22	Montauban - Agen	26:25
01.04.22	Montauban - Agen	21:15
04.11.21	Agen - Montauban	41:17

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