Match Info

Top 14 - Round 16

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Montauban		Bordeaux Bègles

	1	X	2
	9	41	1.05
	9.8	45	1.04
	12.01	46.41	1.04	Watch
	9.5	41	1.04
	13	50	1.03
	10	41	1.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.55 ↓ (13.18)	44.07 ↑ (34.82)	1.04 (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
8.8%

Draw
2.1%

Bordeaux Bègles
89.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.1%

2.7%

90.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Montauban - Bordeaux Bègles Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -19.5 - Bordeaux Bègles (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:37

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bue T.	1. Boniface U.
2. Firmin K.	2. Sa C.
3. Pomponio F.	3. Tameifuna B.
4. Wilkins K.	4. Jacobs T.
5. Kanika N.	5. Palu B.
6. Quercy F.	6. Vergnes-Taillefer B.
7. Fifita V.	7. Woki C.
8. Viiga T.	8. Matiu T.
9. Powell J.	9. Hutteau V.
10. Bosviel J.	10. Carbery J.
11. Ahmed S.	11. Mousques X.
12. Jackson J.	12. Janse van Rensburg R.
13. Espeut M.	13. Uberti P.
14. Vici J.	14. Penaud D.
15. Larregain T.	15. Rayasi S.
Substitutes
16. Maurouard J.	16. Poirot J.
17. Seyrolle L.	17. Perchaud M.
18. Maafu N.	18. Zapedowski A.
19. Uanivi T.	19. Gazzotti M.
20. Zabalza H.	20. Gardrat R.
21. Fortunel T.	21. Laharrague J.
22. Renda S.	22. Buros R.
23. Simutoga V.	23. Sadie C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 7)
4', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
12', Woki C. (Try),
13', Carbery J. (Conversion Goal),
25', Boniface U. 🟨,
26', Pomponio F. 🟨,
36', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 24)
46', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
49', Carbery J. (Penalty Goal),
51', (Penalty Try),
62', (Penalty Try),
78', Espeut M. (Try),
78', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
80', Poirot J. (Conversion Goal),
80+3', Carbery J. (Try),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Montauban has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bordeaux Bègles has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Bordeaux Bègles is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montauban won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:71.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Bordeaux Begles	5	3	0	2	192:129	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Top 14
24.01.26	Perpignan - Montauban	31:8 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Connacht - Montauban	75:14 ✺
10.01.26	Montauban - Black Lion	28:31 ✺
French Top 14
03.01.26	Montauban - Clermont	19:34 ✺
27.12.25	Racing Métro - Montauban	61:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Union Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14
24.01.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Stade Français	28:33 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.26	Bristol Rugby - Bordeaux Bègles	15:27 ✺
11.01.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Northampton Saints	50:28 ✺
French Top 14
03.01.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Racing Métro	62:20 ✺
27.12.25	Clermont - Bordeaux Bègles	34:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
20.09.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Montauban	71:24

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