Match Info

Top 14 - Round 14

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Canal+ Live 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	Montauban		Clermont

	1	X	2
	4.75	34	1.18
	4.1	29	1.23
	4.35	28.96	1.25	Watch
	4.33	26	1.22
	4.77	34	1.19
	5	31	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (4.18)	30.49 ↑ (21.44)	1.21 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
20.3%

Draw
3%

Clermont
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

4.4%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Montauban - Clermont Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:35

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bue T.	1. Lotrian S.
2. Firmin K.	2. Massa B.
3. Pomponio F.	3. Montagne R.
4. Uanivi T.	4. Lanen T.
5. Kanika N.	5. Ceyte T.
6. Quercy F.	6. Sowakula P.
7. Fifita V.	7. Kremer M.
8. Maafu N.	8. Tolofua S.
9. Powell J.	9. Bezy S.
10. Fortunel T.	10. Plummer H.
11. Tuculet S.	11. Jurand J.
12. Jackson J.	12. Moala G.
13. Espeut M.	13. Loaloa A.
14. Vici J.	14. Delguy B.
15. Mouchous B.	15. Newsome A.
Substitutes
16. Maurouard J.	16. Fourcade E.
17. Aouf L.	17. Falgoux E.
18. Bean L.	18. Simmons R.
19. Bitz C.	19. Tixeront K.
20. Notshe S.	20. Zamora L.
21. Castel M.	21. Guillaud A.
22. Mathy M.	22. Simone I.
23. Mafileo S.	23. Dzmanashvili G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 17)
10', Massa B. (Try),
21', Moala G. (Try),
29', Quercy F. 🟨,
31', Lotrian S. (Try),
31', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
40+4', Jurand J. 🟨,
40+8', Bue T. (Try),
40+9', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 17)
47', Massa B. (Try),
51', Vici J. (Try),
52', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
58', Massa B. (Try),
78', Tixeront K. (Try),
78', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
80', Castel M. (Try),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation) and 11).

Montauban has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Clermont has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Clermont is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montauban won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:84.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Clermont	5	2	0	3	118:146	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Top 14
27.12.25	Racing Métro - Montauban	61:16 ✺
20.12.25	Montauban - Section Paloise	17:53 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Montauban - Ospreys	22:33 ✺
06.12.25	Zebre - Montauban	41:17 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Toulon - Montauban	54:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
27.12.25	Clermont - Bordeaux Bègles	34:19 ✺
20.12.25	Perpignan - Clermont	26:20 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Clermont - Sale Sharks	14:35 ✺
06.12.25	Saracens - Clermont	47:10 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Clermont - Stade Français	36:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
04.10.25	Clermont - Montauban	84:31

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