Match Info

Top 14 - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Mayol (Toulon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	Toulon		Montauban

	1	X	2
	1	51	26
	1.01	30	16
	1.02	34.85	19.46	Watch
	1.01	50	31
	1.01	36	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.02)	40.37 ↑ (34.85)	21.69 ↑ (19.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 69.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-40)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulon
93.3%

Draw
2.3%

Montauban
4.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.4%

2.7%

4.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulon - Montauban Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Toulon will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 55:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ametlla L.	1. Aouf L.
2. Baubigny T.	2. Greyling R.
3. Priso D.	3. Pomponio F.
4. Ribbans D.	4. Bitz C.
5. Javakhia G.	5. Maafu N.
6. Ludlam L.	6. Lezana T.
7. Abadie E.	7. Fifita V.
8. Mercer Z.	8. Wilkins K.
9. Serin B.	9. Powell J.
10. Garcia M.	10. Fortunel T.
11. Tuicuvu S.	11. Vallee P.
12. Sinzelle J.	12. Mathy M.
13. Smaili M.	13. Espeut M.
14. Drean G.	14. Vici J.
15. Ferte M.	15. Mouchous B.
Substitutes
16. Damond P.	16. Maurouard J.
17. Brennan D.	17. Seyrolle L.
18. Alainu'uese B.	18. Uanivi T.
19. Mezou C.	19. Ringuet K.
20. Karaba J.	20. Quercy F.
21. Coulon J.	21. Zabalza H.
22. Cowie O.	22. Fonnicola R.
23. Sinckler K.	23. Simutoga V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (33 - 7)
7', Tuicuvu S. (Try),
7', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
12', Serin B. (Try),
12', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
16', Smaili M. (Try),
16', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
18', Vici J. (Try),
18', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
29', Garcia M. (Penalty Try),
40+2', Smaili M. (Try),
2nd Half (21 - 21)
44', Baubigny T. (Try),
45', Ferte M. (Penalty Try),
46', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
54', Fonnicola R. (Penalty Try),
57', Vallee P. (Penalty Try),
59', Ferte M. (Penalty Try),
66', Fifita V. (Penalty Try),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation)).

Toulon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montauban has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Toulon is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
23.11.25	Stade Français - Toulon	51:24 ✺
08.11.25	Toulon - La Rochelle	39:14 ✺
01.11.25	Toulon - Lyon	54:21 ✺
26.10.25	Toulouse - Toulon	59:24 ✺
19.10.25	Toulon - Racing Métro	38:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- US Montauban
French Top 14
22.11.25	Montauban - Toulouse	7:49 ✺
01.11.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Montauban	49:7 ✺
25.10.25	Montauban - Perpignan	29:22 ✺
18.10.25	La Rochelle - Montauban	54:19 ✺
11.10.25	Montauban - Castres	28:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL

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