Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	Stade Aurillacois		Montauban

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.32	25	3.7
	1.33	22.75	3.61
	1.32	29	3.46
	1.32	25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.21)	25.55 ↑ (24)	3.69 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Aurillacois
71.2%

Draw
3.6%

Montauban
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.7%

3.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Aurillacois has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Aurillacois's form might have worsened.

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montauban's recent form is better than expected.

Stade Aurillacois - Montauban Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 10)
6', Fortunel T. (Penalty Goal),
12', Yabaki S. (Try),
12', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
15', Espeut M. (Try),
15', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
22', Martin K. (Try),
22', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
26', Seunes U. (Try),
26', Seunes U. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (15 - 0)
47', Strachan J. (Penalty Goal),
60', Martin K. (Try),
61', Bastard H. (Conversion Goal),
76', Masterson E. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 2.

Stade Aurillacois is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Montauban has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montauban may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stade Aurillacois is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Aurillacois won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 367:394. (average 18.4:19.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Aurillacois won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 228:166. (average 22.8:16.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Aurillacois
French Pro D2
09.05.25	Nevers - Stade Aurillacois	20:21 ✺
25.04.25	Stade Aurillacois - Brive	23:39 ✺
18.04.25	US Dax - Stade Aurillacois	26:21 ✺
11.04.25	Stade Aurillacois - Colomiers	37:46 ✺
04.04.25	Béziers - Stade Aurillacois	23:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLL
- US Montauban
French Pro D2
08.05.25	Montauban - Béziers	42:17 ✺
25.04.25	Montauban - Colomiers	17:31 ✺
18.04.25	SA XV Charente - Montauban	18:19 ✺
11.04.25	Montauban - US Dax	35:23 ✺
03.04.25	Biarritz - Montauban	26:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
11.10.24	Montauban - Stade Aurillacois	31:20
17.05.24	Stade Aurillacois - Montauban	27:22
08.12.23	Montauban - Stade Aurillacois	42:8
31.03.23	Montauban - Stade Aurillacois	30:15
14.10.22	Stade Aurillacois - Montauban	28:6
22.04.22	Stade Aurillacois - Montauban	25:20
17.12.21	Montauban - Stade Aurillacois	19:9

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