Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 27

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Montauban		Vannes

	1	X	2
	2.2	19	1.73
	2.2	17	1.73
	2.16	15	1.81
	2	19	1.83
	2.1	15	1.73
	2.15	22	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.69)	17.83 ↑ (15)	1.76 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
42.9%

Draw
5.1%

Vannes
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

6.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

6.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montauban's form might have worsened.

Vannes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vannes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montauban, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vannes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montauban - Vannes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 17)
8', Reilhac Y. (Try),
8', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
12', Bastardie T. (Try),
12', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
19', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
26', Renda S. (Try),
26', Abzhandadze T. (Conversion Goal),
35', Kalamafoni S. (Try),
35', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 19)
50', Reilhac Y. (Try),
60', Ruru M. (Try),
60', Lafage M. (Conversion Goal),
61', (Try),
71', Taccola R. (Try),
72', Debaes T. (Conversion Goal),
73', Firmin K. (Try),
75', Abzhandadze T. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montauban won 1.

Montauban is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vannes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Montauban won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 333-291.

Including matches at home between the teams Montauban won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 201-106.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
12.04.24	Montauban - Nevers	17:16 ✺
05.04.24	Provence Rugby - Montauban	29:12 ✺
29.03.24	Montauban - US Dax	29:33 ✺
08.03.24	Biarritz - Montauban	33:19 ✺
01.03.24	Montauban - Agen	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- RC Vannes
French Pro D2
12.04.24	Vannes - US Dax	42:10 ✺
05.04.24	SA XV Charente - Vannes	22:22 ✺
29.03.24	Vannes - Colomiers	34:31 ✺
08.03.24	Vannes - FC Grenoble	10:17 ✺
01.03.24	Biarritz - Vannes	12:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
07.09.23	Vannes - Montauban	41:0
10.02.23	Vannes - Montauban	40:37
25.11.22	Montauban - Vannes	12:12
18.02.22	Vannes - Montauban	22:18
08.10.21	Montauban - Vannes	25:19
12.03.21	Montauban - Vannes	18:27
04.12.20	Vannes - Montauban	20:10

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