Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 26

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 6


	Montauban		US Dax

	1	X	2
	1.29	34	3.75
	1.33	26	3.2
	1.26	29	4.1
	1.23	30	4.2
	1.22	26	4.2
	1.3	29	3.55
	1.26	29	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.22)	29 ↑ (22)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
72.9%

Draw
3.2%

US Dax
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

US Dax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Montauban - US Dax Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Montauban will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). US Dax will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (24 - 16)
4', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
14', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
17', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
21', Vici J. (Try),
21', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
24', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
27', Vici J. (Try),
27', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
35', Espeut M. (Try),
35', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
40+2', Gatelier T. (Try),
40+3', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (11 - 7)
50', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
69', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
71', Ausset P. (Try),
71', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
79', Reilhac Y. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montauban won 2.

Recent matches Montauban is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

US Dax is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

US Dax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montauban is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Montauban won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 225:233 (average 20.5:21.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Montauban won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 140:127 (average 28:25.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
03.04.25	Biarritz - Montauban	26:23 ✺
28.03.25	Montauban - Brive	17:21 ✺
07.03.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Montauban	39:7 ✺
27.02.25	Montauban - Provence Rugby	36:28 ✺
21.02.25	Nissa - Montauban	7:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWW
- US Dax
French Pro D2
04.04.25	Provence Rugby - US Dax	57:0 ✺
27.03.25	US Dax - Béziers	33:6 ✺
07.03.25	Biarritz - US Dax	34:33 ✺
28.02.25	US Dax - Nevers	17:19 ✺
20.02.25	US Dax - FC Grenoble	18:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
30.08.24	US Dax - Montauban	24:12
29.03.24	Montauban - US Dax	29:33
05.01.24	US Dax - Montauban	7:0
08.04.18	Montauban - US Dax	30:20
10.11.17	US Dax - Montauban	16:20
21.04.17	Montauban - US Dax	40:31
04.11.16	US Dax - Montauban	21:24

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