Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 20

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 7


	Montauban		Nevers

	1	X	2
	1.3	26	3.5
	1.29	26	3.5
	1.31	25.87	3.7	Watch
	1.25	26	4
	1.26	19	3.84
	1.29	26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.39)	24.81 ↑ (20.39)	3.67 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
71.4%

Draw
3.7%

Nevers
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

4.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

4.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Nevers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montauban that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Montauban - Nevers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 9)
2', Reynolds S. (Penalty Goal),
4', Reilhac Y. (Try),
7', Reynolds S. (Penalty Goal),
18', Bean L. (Try),
19', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
20', Reynolds S. (Penalty Goal),
22', Renda S. (Try),
23', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
26', Viiga T. (Try),
28', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (34 - 14)
44', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
52', Mayo P. (Try),
52', Reynolds S. (Conversion Goal),
55', Uanivi T. (Try),
55', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
59', Renda S. (Try),
59', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
71', (Try),
72', Tarel S. (Try),
72', Reynolds S. (Conversion Goal),
74', Ringuet K. (Try),
78', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
80', Renda S. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montauban won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Montauban is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Montauban to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Montauban won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 271:304 (average 19.4:21.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Montauban won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 175:129 (average 25:18.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
07.02.25	Montauban - Agen	36:14 ✺
24.01.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Montauban	21:33 ✺
17.01.25	Montauban - Valence Romans Drôme	25:23 ✺
09.01.25	FC Grenoble - Montauban	35:15 ✺
20.12.24	Montauban - Oyonnax Rugby	30:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLL
- USO Nevers
French Pro D2
07.02.25	Provence Rugby - Nevers	38:21 ✺
24.01.25	Nevers - Agen	29:28 ✺
17.01.25	Brive - Nevers	22:23 ✺
10.01.25	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	34:0 ✺
20.12.24	SA XV Charente - Nevers	35:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
27.09.24	Nevers - Montauban	13:16
12.04.24	Montauban - Nevers	17:16
25.08.23	Nevers - Montauban	22:9
05.05.23	Nevers - Montauban	48:13
26.08.22	Montauban - Nevers	29:20
12.05.22	Nevers - Montauban	30:6
19.11.21	Montauban - Nevers	33:17

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