Match Info
Nations Championship - Round 2Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Wellington Regional Stadium (Wellington)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena, Sky Sport Uno, TV8 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
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 |
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 |
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New Zealand |
|
Italy |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1 |
35 |
18 |
|
 |
1.02 |
34.85 |
19.46 |
Watch |
 |
1.01 |
27.65 |
10.32 |
|
 |
1.01 |
36 |
16 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.01 ↓ (1.02) |
33.38 ↓ (34.93) |
15.95 ↓ (17.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 65.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-33)
- The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand 91.4% | Draw 2.8% | Italy 5.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)New Zealand - Italy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 50:17 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. de Groot E.
| 1. Fischetti D.
|
2. Taylor C.
| 2. Di Bartolomeo T.
|
3. Lomax T.
| 3. Riccioni M.
|
4. Darry S.
| 4. Cannone N.
|
5. Vaa'i T.
| 5. Zambonin A.
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6. Sititi W.
| 6. Vintcent R.
|
7. Jacobson L.
| 7. Lamaro M. (C)
|
8. Savea A. (C)
| 8. Cannone L.
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9. Roigard C.
| 9. Varney S.
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10. Love R.
| 10. Garbisi P.
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11. Carter L.
| 11. Lynagh L.
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12. Barrett J.
| 12. Menoncello T.
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13. Proctor B.
| 13. Brex N.
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14. Jordan W.
| 14. Faissal M.
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15. McKenzie D.
| 15. Allan T.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Taukei'aho S.
| 16. Lucchesi G.
|
17. Bower G.
| 17. Spagnolo M.
|
18. Tosi P.
| 18. Hasa M.
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19. Lord J.
| 19. Marini G.
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20. Segner A.
| 20. Ruzza F.
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21. Ratima C.
| 21. Favretto R.
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22. Lienert-Brown A.
| 22. Garbisi A.
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23. Moorby J.
| 23. Marin L.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Rennie D.
| . Quesada G.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 10)
- 2', Menoncello T. (Try),
- 3', Allan T. (Conversion Goal),
- 7', Darry S. (Try),
- 8', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Allan T. (Penalty Goal),
- 29', Jordan W. (Try),
- 30', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 31', Carter L. ↓, Moorby J. ↑,
- 40', Jacobson L. ↓, Segner A. ↑,
- 40', Faissal M. ↓, Marin L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (33 - 7)
- 41', Roigard C. (Try),
- 42', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 43', Cannone L. ↓, Favretto R. ↑,
- 47', de Groot E. (Try),
- 48', Love R. (Missed Conversion),
- 48', Lomax T. ↓, Tosi P. ↑,
- 48', Taylor C. ↓, Taukei'aho S. ↑,
- 49', Vintcent R. ↓, Marini G. ↑,
- 49', de Groot E. ↓, Bower G. ↑,
- 50', Jordan W. (Try),
- 51', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Cannone N. 🟥,
- 53', Jordan W. (Try),
- 54', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Fischetti D. ↓, Spagnolo M. ↑,
- 54', Di Bartolomeo T. ↓, Lucchesi G. ↑,
- 56', Marin L. (Try),
- 57', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Lamaro M. ↓, Vintcent R. ↑,
- 57', Roigard C. ↓, Ratima C. ↑,
- 57', Allan T. ↓, Garbisi A. ↑,
- 57', Barrett J. ↓, Lienert-Brown A. ↑,
- 63', Riccioni M. ↓, Hasa M. ↑,
- 63', Zambonin A. ↓, Ruzza F. ↑,
- 65', Savea A. ↓, Lord J. ↑,
- 70', Love R. 🟨,
- 79', Cannone N. ↓, Lamaro M. ↑,
- 80', Vaa'i T. (Try),
- 80+1', Love R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 5. In this match, New Zealand is the clear favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 348:60. (average 49.7:8.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;