Match Info

Pacific Four Series Women - Round 3

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1


	New Zealand W		USA W

	1	X	2
	1	60	18
	1.01	51	21
	1	50	50	Watch
	1	60	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1 (1)	55.25 ↑ (53)	26.75 ↓ (28)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-43)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Zealand W
94.7%

Draw
1.7%

USA W
3.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

94.8%

1.8%

3.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

New Zealand W - USA W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 53:10

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (34 - 14)
7', Tafuna F. (Try),
8', Hawkins M. (Conversion Goal),
11', Vahaakolo K. (Try),
12', Demant R. (Conversion Goal),
15', Vahaakolo K. (Try),
24', Woodman P. (Try),
27', Woodman P. (Try),
27', Demant R. (Conversion Goal),
29', Rogers H. (Try),
30', Hawkins M. (Conversion Goal),
36', Vahaakolo K. (Try),
40+1', Woodman P. (Try),
2nd Half (45 - 0)
45', Woodman P. (Try),
47', Demant R. (Conversion Goal),
49', Demant R. (Penalty Try),
59', Woodman P. (Try),
60', King H. (Conversion Goal),
64', Vahaakolo K. (Try),
65', King H. (Conversion Goal),
69', Woodman P. (Try),
74', Waaka S. J. (Try),
75', King H. (Conversion Goal),
80+2', Woodman P. (Try),

Preview

USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, New Zealand is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 224:40. (average 44.8:8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand W rugby
Pacific Four Series Rugby Women
16.05.25	New Zealand W - Canada W	27:27 ✺
10.05.25	Australia W - New Zealand W	12:38 ✺
WXV 1 Rugby Women
12.10.24	New Zealand W - France W	39:14 ✺
06.10.24	New Zealand W - England W	31:49 ✺
29.09.24	New Zealand W - Ireland W	27:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TWWLL
- USA W rugby
Pacific Four Series Rugby Women
17.05.25	Australia W - USA W	27:19 ✺
02.05.25	USA W - Canada W	14:26 ✺
WXV 1 Rugby Women
11.10.24	USA W - Ireland W	14:26 ✺
05.10.24	USA W - France W	14:22 ✺
29.09.24	USA W - England W	21:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Pacific Four Series Rugby Women
10.05.24	New Zealand W - USA W	57:5
Friendly International Rugby Union Women
14.07.23	New Zealand W - USA W	39:17
18.06.22	New Zealand W - USA W	50:6
Super Series Rugby Women
02.07.19	New Zealand W - USA W	33:0
World Cup Rugby Union Women
22.08.17	New Zealand W - USA W	45:12

New Zealand W - USA W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide