Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 17

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kingston Park (Newcastle)

Referee: Ridley C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Newcastle Red Bulls		Sale Sharks

	1	X	2
	7	34	1.1
	6.2	35	1.11
	6.31	30.52	1.13	Watch
	5.5	34	1.13
	7	34	1.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↓ (7.28)	33.5 ↑ (33)	1.11 ↑ (1.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Red Bulls
14.4%

Draw
2.8%

Sale Sharks
82.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

2.8%

84.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sale Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newcastle Red Bulls - Sale Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Sale Sharks will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:38

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hancock C.	1. Opoku-Fordjour A.
2. McGuigan G. (C)	2. Longstaff A.
3. Palframan R.	3. Harper J.
4. Hodgson J.	4. van Rhyn E. (C)
5. Scott A.	5. Bamber B.
6. Leatherbarrow O.	6. Dugdale S.
7. Christie T.	7. Kelly S.
8. Mafi A.	8. Reuben L.
9. Benitez Cruz S.	9. Warr G.
10. Connon B.	10. Ford G.
11. Obatoyinbo Harrison Inumikunfayo	11. Reed A.
12. Arnold S.	12. Maasi-White R.
13. Hearle A.	13. James L.
14. Wade C.	14. Roebuck T.
15. Grayson E.	15. Carpenter J.
Substitutes
16. Fletcher O.	16. Austin W.
17. Clark J.	17. McEachran R.
18. McCallum M.	18. Bell P.
19. Cardall T.	19. Andrews H.
20. Lockwood F.	20. Woodman T.
21. Elliott J.	21. Quirke R.
22. Healy B.	22. Davies O.
23. Hutchison C.	23. O'Flaherty T.
Coaches
. Jones S.	. Sanderson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 35)
1', Roebuck T. (Try),
1', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
5', Kelly S. (Try),
6', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
10', Christie T. (Try),
11', Connon B. (Missed Conversion),
14', O'Flaherty T. (Try),
15', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
23', Carpenter J. (Try),
23', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
28', Mafi A. (Try),
30', Connon B. (Missed Conversion),
32', Longstaff A. (Try),
33', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (35 - 7)
41', Palframan R. ↓, McCallum M. ↑,
43', Hearle A. (Try),
44', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
50', Warr G. ↓, Quirke R. ↑,
52', Harper J. ↓, Bell P. ↑,
52', Opoku-Fordjour A. ↓, McEachran R. ↑,
52', Hodgson J. ↓, Cardall T. ↑,
52', Mafi A. ↓, Lockwood F. ↑,
52', Benitez Cruz S. ↓, Elliott J. ↑,
52', Connon B. ↓, Healy B. ↑,
54', Lockwood F. (Try),
55', Healy B. (Conversion Goal),
55', Reuben L. ↓, Andrews H. ↑,
60', Longstaff A. ↓, Austin W. ↑,
62', Reed A. (Try),
63', Ford G. (Conversion Goal),
63', Carpenter J. ↓, Davies O. ↑,
63', Hancock C. ↓, Clark J. ↑,
65', Arnold S. ↓, Hutchison C. ↑,
66', Christie T. (Try),
67', Healy B. (Conversion Goal),
68', McGuigan G. ↓, Fletcher O. ↑,
71', Hearle A. (Try),
72', Healy B. (Conversion Goal),
80', Hearle A. (Try),
80+1', Healy B. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.

Newcastle has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sale Sharks's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sale Sharks is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 357:550. (average 17.9:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 193:214. (average 19.3:21.4).

Outrights of English Premiership Rugby for now

Sale Sharks: 5.41% Newcastle Red Bulls: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Sale Sharks	2	1	0	1	45:51	4
9	Newcastle Red Bulls	2	0	0	2	45:83	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Red Bulls
English Premiership Rugby
16.05.26	Bath - Newcastle Red Bulls	69:12 ✺
10.05.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Harlequins	17:76 ✺
24.04.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bristol Rugby	19:52 ✺
18.04.26	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	62:3 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - La Rochelle	18:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sale Sharks
English Premiership Rugby
17.05.26	Sale Sharks - Leicester Tigers	33:47 ✺
08.05.26	Gloucester - Sale Sharks	21:15 ✺
25.04.26	Harlequins - Sale Sharks	33:52 ✺
19.04.26	Sale Sharks - Saracens	19:85 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
11.04.26	Leinster - Sale Sharks	43:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
10.10.25	Sale Sharks - Newcastle Red Bulls	57:5
21.03.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Sale Sharks	15:39
English Premiership Rugby Cup
16.02.25	Sale Sharks - Newcastle Red Bulls	19:17
22.11.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Sale Sharks	28:27
English Premiership Rugby
11.10.24	Sale Sharks - Newcastle Red Bulls	43:10
28.04.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Sale Sharks	14:35
17.11.23	Sale Sharks - Newcastle Red Bulls	40:22

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