Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 10

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: StoneX Stadium (London)

Referee: James J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
United-kingdom	Discovery+, FloRugby.com, TNT Sports 6


	Saracens		Newcastle Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	17
	1.01	50	12
	1.01	41.31	15.4	Watch
	1.01	34	15
	1.01	44	14.6	Watch
	1.01	51	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	45.22 ↑ (41.31)	15.17 ↓ (15.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-29)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saracens
91.8%

Draw
2.1%

Newcastle Red Bulls
6.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.7%

2.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saracens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Newcastle Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Saracens will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 47:18

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carre R.	1. McCallum M.
2. George J.	2. McGuigan G.
3. Riccioni M.	3. Palframan R.
4. Isiekwe N.	4. Usher O.
5. Tizard H.	5. Hodgson J.
6. McFarland T.	6. Gordon T.
7. Christie A.	7. Christie T.
8. Willis T.	8. Lockwood F.
9. Bracken C.	9. Benitez Cruz S.
10. Farrell O.	10. Connon B.
11. Segun R.	11. Obatoyinbo E.
12. Tompkins N.	12. Arnold S.
13. Lozowski A.	13. Hearle A.
14. Caluori N.	14. Wade C.
15. Daly E.	15. Grayson E.
Substitutes
16. Hadfield J.	16. Fletcher O.
17. Mawi E.	17. Brocklebank A.
18. Tuimauga T.	18. de Bruin L.
19. Wilson H.	19. Baker F.
20. Gonzalez J.	20. Parsons R.
21. van Zyl I.	21. Elliott J.
22. Burke F.	22. Hutchison C.
23. Malins M.	23. Spencer O.
Coaches
. McCall M.	. Dickens A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 7)
2', Usher O. (Try),
3', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),
8', (Penalty Try),
8', Benitez Cruz S. 🟨,
16', Segun R. (Try),
16', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
23', Caluori N. (Try),
24', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
31', Caluori N. (Try),
31', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
39', Obatoyinbo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (45 - 7)
41', Christie A. (Try),
41', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
43', Caluori N. (Try),
47', McCallum M. ↓, Brocklebank A. ↑,
50', George J. ↓, Malins M. ↑,
50', Daly E. ↓, Beaton H. ↑,
50', George J. ↓, Mawi E. ↑,
50', Carre R. ↓, Hadfield J. ↑,
53', Hadfield J. (Try),
54', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
54', Tizard H. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
55', McGuigan G. ↓, Fletcher O. ↑,
55', Gordon T. ↓, Parsons R. ↑,
55', Segun R. ↓, Burke F. ↑,
56', Palframan R. ↓, de Bruin L. ↑,
59', Benitez Cruz S. ↓, Elliott J. ↑,
61', Mawi E. (Try),
62', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
62', Willis T. ↓, Michelow N. ↑,
64', Hadfield J. (Try),
65', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
65', Obatoyinbo E. ↓, Spencer O. ↑,
67', Arnold S. ↓, Hutchison C. ↑,
69', Bracken C. ↓, van Zyl I. ↑,
69', Usher O. ↓, Baker F. ↑,
71', Wade C. ↓, Benitez Cruz S. ↑,
75', Caluori N. (Try),
78', Tompkins N. (Try),
78', Farrell O. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Parsons R. (Try),
80+2', Connon B. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Saracens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Saracens is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saracens won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 668:307. (average 33.4:15.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Saracens won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 338:145. (average 33.8:14.5).

Outrights of English Premiership Rugby for now

Saracens: 11.6% Newcastle Red Bulls: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Saracens	2	1	0	1	57:59	6
9	Newcastle Red Bulls	2	0	0	2	45:83	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saracens FC
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.26	Glasgow Warriors - Saracens	28:3 ✺
11.01.26	Saracens - Toulouse	20:14 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
04.01.26	Leicester Tigers - Saracens	36:28 ✺
27.12.25	Gloucester - Saracens	21:30 ✺
20.12.25	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	24:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWL
- Newcastle Red Bulls
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.01.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Newcastle Red Bulls	35:12 ✺
10.01.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Perpignan	26:19 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
02.01.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Gloucester	25:19 ✺
27.12.25	Bristol Rugby - Newcastle Red Bulls	36:27 ✺
21.12.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Bath	14:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Cup
22.11.25	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	43:0
English Premiership Rugby
26.09.25	Newcastle Red Bulls - Saracens	17:39
10.05.25	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	75:28
29.11.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Saracens	17:12
30.12.23	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	37:19
12.11.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - Saracens	12:50
25.02.23	Saracens - Newcastle Red Bulls	29:23

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