Match Info
Challenge Cup - Round 1Date: 17 October 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, FloSports app, S4C Clic, S4C |
International | EPCR Rugby TV |
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 |
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 |
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Llanelli Scarlets |
|
Newcastle Red Bulls |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.18 |
34 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.19 |
29 |
4.6 |
|
 |
1.18 |
27 |
4.35 |
|
 |
1.2 |
30 |
4.7 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.19 ↓ (1.24) |
30 ↑ (24.33) |
4.6 ↑ (4.14) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Llanelli Scarlets 77.1% | Draw 3.1% | Newcastle Red Bulls 19.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Newcastle Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Llanelli Scarlets - Newcastle Red Bulls Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -11.5 - Scarlets (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarlets (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:21 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Mathias K.
| 1. West T.
|
2. McKee J.
| 2. Fletcher O.
|
3. O'Connor H.
| 3. Moreno F.
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4. Cuckson H.
| 4. Baker F.
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5. Groves A.
| 5. Molina F.
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6. Lousi S.
| 6. Ferrie A.
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7. Macleod J.
| 7. Leatherbarrow O.
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8. Anderson F.
| 8. Graham S. (C)
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9. Davies G.
| 9. Elliott J.
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10. Costelow S.
| 10. Dalziel J.
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11. Page M.
| 11. Jackson-Richards B.
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12. Williams J.
| 12. Hutchison C.
|
13. Roberts J.
| 13. Harris C.
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14. Mee E.
| 14. Ene O.
|
15. Murray B.
| 15. Hodge J.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Elias R.
| 16. Adejimi S.
|
17. O'Connor S.
| 17. Brocklebank A.
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18. Hawley G.
| 18. McCallum M.
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19. Plumtree T.
| 19. Usher O.
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20. Davies J.
| 20. Hicks M.
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21. Blacker D.
| 21. Benitez Cruz S.
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22. Hawkins J.
| 22. Connon B.
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23. James E.
| 23. Spencer O.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (26 - 0)
- 13', Costelow S. (Try),
- 14', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Anderson F. (Try),
- 23', Costelow S. (Missed Conversion),
- 27', Williams J. (Try),
- 27', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Davies G. (Try),
- 40+1', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 14)
- 54', McCallum M. 🟨,
- 55', Mee E. (Try),
- 56', Page M. (Try),
- 56', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Page M. (Try),
- 67', Hawkins J. (Conversion Goal),
- 71', Spencer O. (Try),
- 72', Hodge J. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Leatherbarrow O. (Try),
- 79', Hodge J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In this matchup, Scarlets is considered the favorite to take the win. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;