Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 2

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Newport Gwent Dragons		Sharks

	1	X	2
	2.05	19	1.83
	1.91	19	1.91
	1.95	21	1.88
	2.16	19.91	1.76	Watch
	2	26	1.83
	1.95	21	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.74)	20.99 ↑ (20)	1.85 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport Gwent Dragons
45.9%

Draw
4.4%

Sharks
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

4.6%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport Gwent Dragons's performance.

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sharks (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 17)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Sharks's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 75:202. (average 15:40.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dragons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 58:82. (average 19.3:27.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
26.09.25	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	42:21 ✺
17.05.25	Blue Bulls - Newport Gwent Dragons	57:15 ✺
10.05.25	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	48:12 ✺
26.04.25	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	57:24 ✺
19.04.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets	23:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
26.09.25	Glasgow Warriors - Sharks	35:19 ✺
Currie Cup
05.09.25	Sharks - Pumas	19:13 ✺
30.08.25	Sharks - Boland Cavaliers	33:31 ✺
22.08.25	Sharks - Western Province	29:21 ✺
15.08.25	Griquas - Sharks	26:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
05.10.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	30:33
Challenge Cup Rugby
21.01.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	9:29
United Rugby Championship
25.11.23	Sharks - Newport Gwent Dragons	69:14
01.10.22	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	19:20
01.04.22	Sharks - Newport Gwent Dragons	51:3

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