Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 13

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby, URC


	Stormers		Newport Gwent Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	17
	1	50	14
				Watch
	1	29	17
	1.01	50	41
	1.01	20	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	40 ↓ (51)	20.4 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-31)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
93.1%

Draw
2.3%

Newport Gwent Dragons
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.7%

1.8%

5.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Stormers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 45:14

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 7)
2nd Half (15 - 14)

Preview

Dragons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stormers is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 150:69. (average 37.5:17.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stormers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:38. (average 41:19).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Stormers	3	2	0	1	81:54	10
8	Dragons	3	1	1	1	88:83	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
14.03.26	Blue Bulls - Stormers	19:32 ✺
28.02.26	Lions - Stormers	24:10 ✺
31.01.26	Sharks - Stormers	36:24 ✺
24.01.26	Stormers - Sharks	19:30 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.01.26	Stormers - Leicester Tigers	39:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
28.02.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso	15:15 ✺
31.01.26	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	19:13 ✺
23.01.26	Munster - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:20 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.01.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Newcastle Red Bulls	35:12 ✺
10.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons	74:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
10.05.25	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	48:12
10.05.24	Newport Gwent Dragons - Stormers	21:44
03.12.22	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	34:26
15.10.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Stormers	10:24

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