Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Ravenhill Stadium (Belfast)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Variety 1
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Ulster		Newport Gwent Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.07	41	8
	1.06	35	8.2
	1.06	41	11
	1.06	29	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 ↓ (1.07)	36.5 ↑ (34.33)	8.8 ↑ (8.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ulster
87%

Draw
2.5%

Newport Gwent Dragons
10.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

86.1%

2.7%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:18

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 14)
2nd Half (14 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 5.

In this match, Ulster is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ulster won 17 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 609:335. (average 30.5:16.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulster won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 355:147. (average 35.5:14.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
16.05.25	Edinburgh - Ulster	47:17 ✺
09.05.25	Munster - Ulster	38:20 ✺
26.04.25	Ulster - Sharks	19:22 ✺
19.04.25	Leinster - Ulster	41:17 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
06.04.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Ulster	43:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
17.05.25	Blue Bulls - Newport Gwent Dragons	57:15 ✺
10.05.25	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	48:12 ✺
26.04.25	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	57:24 ✺
19.04.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets	23:31 ✺
28.03.25	Edinburgh - Newport Gwent Dragons	38:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
22.03.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	30:34
02.03.24	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	49:26
14.04.23	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	40:19
20.02.22	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	0:12
13.03.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	22:26
25.10.20	Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons	40:17
03.03.19	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ulster	15:28

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Blue Bulls - Ulster	✺
- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
24.10.26	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	✺

Ulster - Newport Gwent Dragons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide