Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 21

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	Nissa		Montauban

	1	X	2
	2.63	21	1.53
	2.62	21	1.5
				Watch
	2.62	23	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.77)	21.67 ↑ (18)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nissa
35%

Draw
4.2%

Montauban
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

5.1%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

5.3%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nissa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nissa - Montauban Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Montauban will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:26

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 3)
18', Erasmus C. (Try),
18', Gimbert J. (Conversion Goal),
34', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 12)
54', Mouchous B. (Try),
54', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
57', Bosviel J. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rider won 2.

Recent matches Rider is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fairfield is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rider will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Rider won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1394:1387 (average 69.7:69.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Rider won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 485:471 (average 69.3:67.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nissa Rugby
French Pro D2
14.02.25	Brive - Nissa	29:10 ✺
07.02.25	Nissa - Stade Aurillacois	18:29 ✺
24.01.25	Valence Romans Drôme - Nissa	57:34 ✺
17.01.25	Nissa - Oyonnax Rugby	15:33 ✺
10.01.25	Béziers - Nissa	42:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Montauban
French Pro D2
14.02.25	Montauban - Nevers	60:23 ✺
07.02.25	Montauban - Agen	36:14 ✺
24.01.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Montauban	21:33 ✺
17.01.25	Montauban - Valence Romans Drôme	25:23 ✺
09.01.25	FC Grenoble - Montauban	35:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
08.11.24	Montauban - Nissa	34:30

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